AI · resolved market
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecca02f2cf8af5c83e14ef4fcd3d41e8d6f7c7602aa0245d16956a2404081ac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05df…882dbacked Yes | 18c | 19,922$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…8c30backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked Yes | 65c | 9,999$6,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,536.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 80c | 9,155$7,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.28 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…42d1backed Yes | 60c | 8,742$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked Yes | 26c | 5,976$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -78%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…4c53backed Yes | 58c | 5,720$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 49c | 4,640$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 60c | 4,250$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.84 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 43c | 4,145$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.41 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 43c | 3,520$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.28 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed No | 61c | 3,272$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 43c | 3,064$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.44 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2224…23e1backed No | 62c | 2,476$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed No | 52c | 2,466$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +287.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 57c | 2,416$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.13 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 53c | 2,300$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 34c | 2,144$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 65c | 2,100$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 40c | 2,067$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.32 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…d661backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 33c | 1,977$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.97 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 41c | 1,965$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.01 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 54c | 1,920$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.22 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 44c | 1,635$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…083dbacked No | 61c | 1,627$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 53c | 1,600$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.98 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 37c | 1,476$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked No | 56c | 1,366$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 57c | 1,331$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 53c | 1,123$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.9 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 37c | 1,061$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,012$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked No | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 50c | 950$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…4b60backed Yes | 13c | 934.83$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 29c | 931.4$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.48 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…2289backed No | 53c | 921.48$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 918$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.1 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked Yes | 35c | 899.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6d…5453backed No | 36c | 847.71$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 31c | 837.8$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.32 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed Yes | 37c | 810$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 56c | 805.08$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.77 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 23c | 789.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 48c | 765$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 35c | 759.53$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.37 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 46c | 755$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.02 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked No | 40c | 739.37$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 39c | 720.46$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 40c | 704.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 54c | 700.31$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.27 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…babfbacked No | 70c | 676.59$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 36c | 673.26$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.59 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…91cdbacked No | 79c | 661.35$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed Yes | 27c | 649.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…3bccbacked No | 43c | 615.11$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…13b9backed No | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 39c | 600$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…99bfbacked Yes | 2c | 599.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…8dccbacked No | 42c | 596.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b6…2c93backed Yes | 46c | 592.52$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bf…75b5backed No | 51c | 571.95$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…10c2backed No | 56c | 557.31$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 45c | 543.47$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…dfdabacked Yes | 33c | 502.52$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 60c | 500$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…3ceabacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d9…ff14backed No | 73c | 494.99$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 58c | 479.36$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa184…eaa4backed No | 54c | 462.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 42c | 460$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 20c | 460$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 40c | 447$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.67 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 62c | 445$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.39 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked No | 51c | 439.84$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked No | 57c | 430.42$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed No | 29c | 407.56$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.79 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 63c | 407.4$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed No | 47c | 395.04$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x474f…5f02backed No | 45c | 392.53$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 67c | 388.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.37 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…02aabacked Yes | 22c | 388.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…e6a2backed No | 66c | 365.93$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9d…7971backed Yes | 39c | 360.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 30c | 359.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked No | 58c | 354.43$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed No | 43c | 351.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.76 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7ec8backed No | 77c | 347.88$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 46c | 345.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 59c | 341.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 330.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1648…a676backed No | 70c | 321.25$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked No | 51c | 319.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked No | 66c | 304.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…a1bfbacked No | 58c | 303.25$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?this page
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?No won
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.