AI · resolved market
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f676152898df5e98578b6e3c59ed03a86193db4a6431436e150ed0698e7f9eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 39c | 14,733$5,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,716.19 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 28c | 11,677$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.28 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 29c | 5,901$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.36 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +19.9wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 51c | 5,222$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf81…697dbacked Yes | 10c | 5,043$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 4,874$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.36 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked No | 72c | 3,919$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 14c | 3,602$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.72 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 72c | 2,193$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 25c | 1,894$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.32 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 36c | 1,747$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.37 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 11c | 1,678$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 13c | 1,677$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,673$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.13 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 16c | 1,500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.04 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 1,297$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked No | 72c | 1,200$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 19c | 1,178$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,173$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 19c | 1,087$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…b0d9backed No | 75c | 1,058$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 76c | 1,051$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.42 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked No | 22c | 1,048$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,036$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,012$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…a04ebacked No | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 27c | 916$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…11ffbacked No | 64c | 900$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 66c | 881.52$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.72 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 37c | 840$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.25 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 57c | 828.95$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.95 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 18c | 823.87$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 165 | 19.4%32 W · 133 L | -21.3wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 750.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed Yes | 15c | 739.28$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 13c | 720.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 22c | 714.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.69 | 416 | 7.5%31 W · 385 L | -25.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…c095backed Yes | 71c | 699.97$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.98 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0e…4a20backed Yes | 11c | 696.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 9c | 682.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed Yes | 35c | 678.1$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a74…ae2bbacked Yes | 23c | 658.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed No | 74c | 610$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0d…835bbacked No | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed No | 71c | 590$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd4…5127backed Yes | 22c | 554.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked No | 71c | 540$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 30c | 520$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…b220backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 14c | 465$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…700cbacked No | 24c | 463.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +321.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 26c | 460.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 456.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes | 3c | 415.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 69c | 399.99$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…f0debacked No | 75c | 392.68$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked Yes | 72c | 384.89$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 25c | 362.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 22c | 361.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde4…7bfdbacked No | 74c | 335.28$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Yes | 47c | 334.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed Yes | 36c | 329.17$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c06…a2b8backed Yes | 19c | 327.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 60c | 327.39$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 63c | 315.54$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | +17.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…0e0cbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 19c | 279.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…15b4backed Yes | 9c | 274.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…3c8abacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…45c6backed No | 48c | 270.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 264.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…bb8dbacked No | 64c | 262.07$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aed…feacbacked No | 76c | 261.36$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 73c | 257.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 59c | 254.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 24c | 248.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 20c | 248.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 27c | 242.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 61c | 240.66$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.17 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 26c | 227.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…17fcbacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6d…5453backed Yes | 66c | 225.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…5c2abacked Yes | 13c | 223.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 14c | 219.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked No | 66c | 218.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 24c | 204.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d96backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…c929backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 11c | 199.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed No | 71c | 198$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 19c | 191.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…be4dbacked No | 42c | 190$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?this page
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?No won
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.