Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal to score first vs. Colombia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc901a60230d943fbd0e941e02d11d352ef1e9eb544c3ec2f30cf07562ffd366b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,745$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.59 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 1,051$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 42c | 867.95$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.41 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 41c | 860.04$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.42 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2829…338cbacked Yes | 55c | 454.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Yes | 46c | 436$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.53 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…3d85backed Yes | 59c | 434.25$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.21 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 51c | 412.34$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.53 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 43c | 378.87$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.52 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 59c | 311.81$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 302.37$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 58c | 292$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.51 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…c2c1backed Yes | 58c | 253.69$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 51c | 220.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2efd…fa98backed Yes | 46c | 212.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…b59fbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 42c | 194.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 54c | 192$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 42c | 180.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…3682backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 55c | 170.55$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0415…0ae5backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 60c | 133.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 70c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 113.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…30a3backed Yes | 55c | 109.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfa…dcdebacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 59c | 101.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…b0a8backed No | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 55c | 90.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…1f83backed Yes | 54c | 89.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…8aacbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Yes | 52c | 84.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…cba2backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…a388backed Yes | 63c | 79.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc1…7cb3backed Yes | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 53c | 73.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Yes | 17c | 61.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 58c | 58.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf293…e87abacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 38c | 56.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…5034backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d4…8264backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…ba4ebacked Yes | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bc…2904backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 68c | 39.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 43c | 36.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…e18fbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…9e0ebacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…ae6abacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb3…f4f6backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…9978backed Yes | 57c | 33.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…86f3backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…24b1backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…a580backed Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb359…1f51backed Yes | 51c | 29.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…6599backed Yes | 59c | 29.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 42c | 27.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Yes | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…3c91backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…308cbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 55c | 24.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c9…01a7backed Yes | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Yes | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff02…f78dbacked Yes | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…0f33backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…1756backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal to score first vs. Colombia?this page
- Colombia to score first vs. Portugal?No won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Neither team to score first?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.