Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Portugal: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe552ab854138881bce6a5bfe025aafb8fb3fa7d4571f6f493a92bcc141e625bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf93c…74e0backed Yes | 13c | 5,927$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,126.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 1,433$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3976…470fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,375$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 1,250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 28c | 641.17$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Yes | 12c | 621.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 50c | 522.15$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.97 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…cee0backed Yes | 7c | 488.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.97 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.57 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…5730backed No | 67c | 425.97$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.84 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 45c | 382.31$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.14 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Yes | 60c | 336.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 30c | 334.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 6c | 328.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.44 | 275 | 43.6%120 W · 155 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Yes | 56c | 235.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed No | 74c | 209.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…498ebacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 62c | 172.24$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 19c | 134.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 130$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Yes | 9c | 123.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…db24backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…8316backed Yes | 18c | 88.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…cd83backed Yes | 71c | 84.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 41c | 70.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…cad2backed Yes | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…c024backed Yes | 21c | 52.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed Yes | 80c | 50.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…a40fbacked Yes | 41c | 41.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…9bdcbacked No | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 74c | 39.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 40c | 32.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 59c | 22.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Neither team to score first?this page
- Colombia to score first vs. Portugal?No won
- Portugal to score first vs. Colombia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.