Movies · resolved market
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5202a8a93caf90216c8017805b54c0d68a30344baebff2d42bcfcec401b3dc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 66c | 9,557$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.89 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 41c | 5,667$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.31 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 17c | 5,407$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.22 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 42c | 2,107$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.1 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304e…be98backed Yes | 27c | 2,015$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.22 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…5382backed No | 60c | 1,854$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 23c | 1,722$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.2 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,600$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.22 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 50c | 1,263$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.77 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 834.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…d03dbacked Yes | 79c | 811.06$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf59…deb0backed No | 35c | 791.91$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 22c | 791.35$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…ae42backed Yes | 69c | 750.25$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 720.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 13c | 634.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 631.95$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.18 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 14c | 621.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 75c | 617.67$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.27 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Yes | 65c | 575$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 71c | 497.75$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked No | 35c | 459.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e180backed Yes | 70c | 428.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 33c | 401.48$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.05 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…1282backed No | 13c | 399.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 44c | 385.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.48 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…58c2backed No | 16c | 353.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 51c | 350.1$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.38 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 57c | 326.67$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 32c | 317.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 55c | 315.97$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.95 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 65c | 300$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 287.64$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.95 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 20c | 275.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…fd71backed Yes | 63c | 229.39$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 20c | 222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 51c | 207.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacf…0ba0backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 35c | 190.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.45 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 6c | 190$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 68c | 182.13$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 162.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 12c | 156.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 32c | 146.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Yes | 70c | 143.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 58c | 139.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 38c | 128.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…4c96backed Yes | 71c | 126.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 35c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 31c | 119$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 64c | 116.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…0dddbacked Yes | 50c | 115.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 40c | 114.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 58c | 106$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 75c | 101.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 62c | 100.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d4…8264backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…8c5bbacked Yes | 73c | 98.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 65c | 94.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…a4a5backed No | 13c | 94.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…a200backed Yes | 57c | 87.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Yes | 64c | 77.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 37c | 66.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 43c | 65.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked No | 32c | 62.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…d8a9backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d68…4b92backed Yes | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 69c | 56.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 41c | 56.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…4fc9backed Yes | 38c | 50.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 59c | 46.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…cc69backed No | 42c | 40.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 80c | 37.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0a15backed Yes | 74c | 32.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 63c | 31.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 70c | 30.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…8b39backed No | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 77c | 25.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 64c | 24.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed Yes | 65c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked Yes | 74c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…1c8dbacked Yes | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7821…9855backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371d…b39abacked Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efc…2996backed Yes | 76c | 13.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?this page
- Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?No won
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?No won
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.