Movies · resolved market
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6c3ce745e9fe68eaacf7a6e2712192d134e1d18c8ac8dab02f825c481eb5add
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 22c | 10,064$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.72 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked No | 5c | 8,638$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,221.05 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4abe…37b7backed No | 65c | 7,931$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 71c | 7,327$5,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.72 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…7655backed Yes | 7c | 6,533$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked Yes | 50c | 5,480$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 34c | 5,452$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.34 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 66c | 3,288$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.7 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 25c | 2,737$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.56 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf59…deb0backed Yes | 26c | 2,377$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 34c | 2,073$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.48 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…237dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,724$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,690$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.44 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2224…23e1backed Yes | 20c | 1,606$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,560$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 27c | 1,535$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed No | 46c | 1,520$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 62c | 1,245$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.14 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,220$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,205$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…81cebacked Yes | 58c | 1,158$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 57c | 1,098$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 10c | 1,030$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 866.02$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.43 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad6…cf65backed Yes | 15c | 835.26$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 814.91$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.03 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 30c | 808.23$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.64 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…dfdabacked Yes | 22c | 795.29$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked No | 3c | 775.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.32 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 13c | 768.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 75 | 8%6 W · 69 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 74c | 754.3$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb987…67f4backed Yes | 12c | 751.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…04eabacked Yes | 12c | 739.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 718$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.14 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…5382backed Yes | 7c | 711.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 655.22$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…c111backed No | 77c | 635.7$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 63c | 512.5$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 31c | 502.75$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.58 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 501.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 76c | 499.5$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed Yes | 22c | 480$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 474.22$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6c…6966backed Yes | 21c | 441.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 439$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed Yes | 28c | 436.83$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 52c | 371$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 58c | 370.14$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 363.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 73c | 358.09$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…4847backed No | 29c | 346.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 51c | 325.6$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.34 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 32c | 312.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…75b2backed No | 8c | 305$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +306.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x376e…d654backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 63c | 280.85$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…f6dcbacked No | 72c | 279.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 76c | 279.23$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 7c | 278.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 31c | 277.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…eeecbacked Yes | 13c | 274.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 40c | 254.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 252.95$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 57c | 251.79$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 245$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…5b73backed Yes | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 211.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 59c | 210.8$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 68c | 209.57$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 14c | 181.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 47c | 179$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…f83bbacked Yes | 26c | 154.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…b90abacked Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…49d7backed Yes | 39c | 145$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed No | 69c | 143.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 62c | 143.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 77c | 140.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…58c2backed Yes | 29c | 136.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…0dddbacked Yes | 55c | 122.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…4e5bbacked Yes | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 62c | 114.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…c267backed Yes | 60c | 114.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 68c | 114.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…e77abacked No | 73c | 113$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 44c | 111.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…41bbbacked Yes | 32c | 108.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…39afbacked Yes | 52c | 105.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 43c | 103.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…7636backed Yes | 69c | 100.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…abebbacked Yes | 15c | 100.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?this page
- Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?No won
- Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes won
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.