Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a6169cb0dbc469afcad917d7ee1e40cc035ef3db44bd29ebd00c10bb3aa0642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aryna Sabalenkaof Aryna Sabalenka, Naomi Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,986,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,190,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,986,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 511 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbee5…a636backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 408,123$81,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,673.01 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Aryna Sabalenka | 80c | 352,386$281,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,477.28 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 205,000$40,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,400.04 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Aryna Sabalenka | 79c | 90,000$71,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,899.98 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Naomi Osaka | 19c | 57,234$11,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,152.77 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Naomi Osaka | 19c | 40,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.99 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 28,498$5,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.81 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 80c | 28,449$22,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,689.85 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Naomi Osaka | 19c | 25,000$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…be6dbacked Naomi Osaka | 26c | 23,418$5,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997.19 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Aryna Sabalenka | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Naomi Osaka | 18c | 18,811$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.67 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 18,594$3,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,718.75 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Aryna Sabalenka | 67c | 18,586$12,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,054.15 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…0091backed Aryna Sabalenka | 79c | 17,318$13,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.81 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Naomi Osaka | 19c | 17,000$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Naomi Osaka | 21c | 16,515$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.2 | 134 | 27.6%37 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Aryna Sabalenka | 79c | 15,531$12,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.46 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Naomi Osaka | 14c | 15,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Aryna Sabalenka | 79c | 13,000$10,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Naomi Osaka | 9c | 13,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 74c | 11,331$8,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.87 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Naomi Osaka | 20c | 10,305$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.41 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…adc7backed Naomi Osaka | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Naomi Osaka | 19c | 9,090$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.06 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Naomi Osaka | 19c | 8,200$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.99 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Naomi Osaka | 19c | 8,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…a3d4backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 7,637$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.7 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Naomi Osaka | 4c | 7,277$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 6,765$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.95 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 6,750$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.38 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Naomi Osaka | 21c | 6,700$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 79c | 6,623$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.55 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 6,600$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Naomi Osaka | 18c | 6,391$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.44 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Naomi Osaka | 19c | 6,271$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.18 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Aryna Sabalenka | 78c | 5,530$4,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.66 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…a22bbacked Naomi Osaka | 28c | 5,206$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.55 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Naomi Osaka | 19c | 5,154$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.01 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…cad3backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 5,005$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Naomi Osaka | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Naomi Osaka | 8c | 4,999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.92 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Aryna Sabalenka | 80c | 4,836$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.24 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb334…1ae1backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 4,810$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.14 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Naomi Osaka | 18c | 4,722$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 4,688$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.64 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Naomi Osaka | 26c | 4,188$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Naomi Osaka | 19c | 4,181$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.46 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Naomi Osaka | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Naomi Osaka | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Naomi Osaka | 6c | 4,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Naomi Osaka | 20c | 3,986$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.16 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Naomi Osaka | 19c | 3,926$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.73 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…85ecbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 67c | 3,913$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Naomi Osaka | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…7984backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 3,379$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 3,294$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.57 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6168…dda9backed Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 3,289$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.47 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Naomi Osaka | 28c | 3,241$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.4 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Naomi Osaka | 19c | 3,229$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.52 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Naomi Osaka | 18c | 3,056$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Naomi Osaka | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Naomi Osaka | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Naomi Osaka | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Naomi Osaka | 34c | 2,970$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Naomi Osaka | 18c | 2,932$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.02 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Naomi Osaka | 29c | 2,914$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.93 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Aryna Sabalenka | 80c | 2,900$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Naomi Osaka | 13c | 2,870$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.66 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Naomi Osaka | 19c | 2,828$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.3 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…50eabacked Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 2,794$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…9c49backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 2,688$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.25 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Aryna Sabalenka | 80c | 2,577$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.03 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 2,464$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…f899backed Naomi Osaka | 25c | 2,412$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Naomi Osaka | 20c | 2,300$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Naomi Osaka | 31c | 2,161$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.83 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 2,149$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.85 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 79c | 2,065$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.65 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…0f1abacked Aryna Sabalenka | 80c | 2,063$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 2,036$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.15 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Naomi Osaka | 19c | 2,022$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 119 | 19.3%23 W · 96 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Naomi Osaka | 21c | 2,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Aryna Sabalenka | 68c | 2,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Naomi Osaka | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Naomi Osaka | 19c | 1,954$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.23 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Naomi Osaka | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2329…ceb3backed Naomi Osaka | 9c | 1,870$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 1,849$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.22 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Naomi Osaka | 8c | 1,800$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…5448backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 1,702$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Naomi Osaka | 3c | 1,523$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Naomi Osaka | 26c | 1,517$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.42 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Naomi Osaka | 20c | 1,509$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.78 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Naomi Osaka | 17c | 1,403$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.68 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakathis page
- Aryna Sabalenka vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Sabalenka vs. Osaka: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Sabalenka vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Sabalenka vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs OsakaSabalenka won
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)Sabalenka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.