World Politics · resolved market
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa638577415195ac2ca0e8ab8befd45e3991612be6d2cf64e661abc6350c7900a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,369,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,708,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,369,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 6,285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 50c | 1,082,858$544,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544,641.69 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…1e71backed No | 36c | 1,031,390$370,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660,526.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…ef20backed No | 27c | 1,010,275$268,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741,706.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…cc9fbacked No | 26c | 866,946$225,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641,488.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 15cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes | 75c | 806,244$607,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607,586.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…ab0ebacked Yes | 66c | 799,441$524,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524,269.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 66c | 712,373$469,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469,671.52 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…2c56backed No | 35c | 659,714$231,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427,836.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…dc57backed Yes | 41c | 638,992$260,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260,418.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 35c | 579,724$201,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,536.77 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…fdddbacked Yes | 32c | 404,179$128,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,961.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…3d73backed Yes | 35c | 393,455$136,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,192.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked Yes | 56c | 369,636$207,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207,339.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed Yes | 70c | 367,105$255,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255,138.66 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaab…8e6cbacked Yes | 45c | 334,234$150,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,147.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 51c | 317,177$161,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,565.92 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 36c | 309,191$109,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,860.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…0186backed Yes | 57c | 308,192$176,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,513.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a20…9cb5backed Yes | 80c | 293,712$233,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233,534.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed Yes | 43c | 290,533$123,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,518.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 48c | 284,624$136,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,450.78 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…be20backed No | 20c | 278,950$55,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223,737.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +405.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 54c | 278,413$149,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,380.75 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…0a8dbacked Yes | 59c | 275,194$162,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,911.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…4e82backed No | 30c | 253,846$74,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178,918.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +238.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e14abacked Yes | 63c | 249,003$157,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157,851.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 0c | 245,105$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.15 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…6e12backed Yes | 36c | 242,860$87,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,115.07 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 63c | 234,214$148,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,572.34 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…df83backed No | 46c | 225,527$104,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,303.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 75c | 222,758$166,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166,277.52 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 70c | 217,023$152,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,327.97 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…7306backed No | 43c | 210,183$91,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,091.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 19c | 190,160$35,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,991.84 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…3694backed No | 33c | 181,441$60,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,040.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a0…1de0backed Yes | 62c | 179,648$110,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,789.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 36c | 176,395$63,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,859.61 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…180dbacked No | 19c | 175,615$32,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,810.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 52c | 157,926$82,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,622.89 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 5c | 156,605$7,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,912.79 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…e0ccbacked No | 47c | 156,578$73,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,295.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 71c | 156,288$111,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,175.63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 67c | 153,956$103,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,387.3 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…41f0backed Yes | 72c | 150,912$108,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,376.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…4821backed Yes | 47c | 148,843$70,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,379.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…d6fdbacked Yes | 72c | 147,803$107,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,045.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…60ffbacked No | 32c | 144,608$46,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,285.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed Yes | 63c | 144,588$91,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,018.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…3f30backed No | 69c | 142,518$98,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,736.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…43f4backed No | 30c | 139,998$42,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,557.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 68c | 128,277$87,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,701.9 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed Yes | 26c | 122,246$31,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,416.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 55c | 119,645$65,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,286.38 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…79d0backed No | 36c | 118,578$43,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,360.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x956e…f324backed Yes | 13c | 116,099$15,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,641.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked Yes | 24c | 115,862$27,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,495.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…24bebacked Yes | 53c | 114,849$60,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,661.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…dc66backed Yes | 74c | 112,284$83,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,479.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…7f28backed Yes | 67c | 111,275$74,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,734.02 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…fc9cbacked No | 24c | 110,018$26,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,640.96 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 110,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed Yes | 68c | 105,164$71,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,011.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…450abacked No | 35c | 105,055$36,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,721.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…f3e9backed No | 25c | 103,064$26,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,867.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Yes | 63c | 101,860$63,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,794.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…bf6fbacked No | 57c | 101,494$57,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,821.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…daecbacked No | 27c | 100,478$27,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,973.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…d286backed Yes | 17c | 100,212$17,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,442.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592b…aedcbacked Yes | 6c | 100,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…57e2backed Yes | 69c | 100,000$68,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,544.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes | 67c | 98,216$65,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,578.95 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 68c | 97,688$66,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,516.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed No | 32c | 95,326$30,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,833.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 19c | 93,886$17,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,737.48 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 62c | 92,459$57,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,559.25 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 68c | 89,304$60,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,465.57 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 6c | 89,131$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,351.62 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 4c | 84,131$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.63 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 66c | 83,516$55,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,051.24 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 55c | 83,334$45,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,874.46 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…4e2fbacked Yes | 72c | 82,713$59,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,176.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…88a5backed No | 33c | 80,696$26,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,711.52 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…eed6backed No | 79c | 80,000$63,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,405.71 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…2f0bbacked No | 37c | 77,108$28,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,799.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…c5efbacked Yes | 59c | 76,889$44,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,988.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed No | 24c | 75,300$17,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,380.35 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…cc0bbacked No | 34c | 73,373$25,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,069.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 54c | 72,787$39,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,242.51 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…5ec5backed No | 39c | 71,707$27,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,802.61 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 53c | 69,679$36,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,879.48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yes | 52c | 69,268$36,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,161.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked No | 45c | 68,780$30,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,968.27 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 42c | 67,008$28,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,296.36 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…d463backed Yes | 63c | 66,995$42,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,519.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…54afbacked No | 24c | 66,491$16,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,474.28 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe561…97cfbacked Yes | 70c | 66,361$46,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,358.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +251.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…9c5ebacked No | 33c | 65,179$21,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,443.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 55c | 65,109$35,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,756.79 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 70c | 64,703$45,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,529.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…627ebacked Yes | 69c | 63,320$43,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,811.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.