Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf84f438c793f03bda774c99c45cf1dd07c1ef1f801ea3b2a189080bcefdfdba5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 42c | 11,945$5,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,062.44 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 7,815$4,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.44 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 2,425$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 2,385$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 2,159$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.08 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 58c | 1,966$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.52 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 61c | 1,623$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.95 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 42c | 1,570$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 58c | 1,326$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.86 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 59c | 1,250$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.49 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 41c | 759.58$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 674.43$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.05 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 654.76$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.84 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 622.33$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.13 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 604.99$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 599.86$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 19c | 499.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 465.11$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.35 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 435.93$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.45 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed No | 59c | 374.98$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.74 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 42c | 359.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf4…3d38backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…82a5backed Yes | 21c | 300$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 268.64$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 41c | 265$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…aa3fbacked Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 59c | 243.68$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Yes | 42c | 236.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 61c | 216.7$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 58c | 198.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 59c | 198.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 57c | 196$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 21c | 175$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 57c | 149.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 63c | 149.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…b466backed Yes | 39c | 131.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dab…6ecabacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d4…8264backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 61c | 116.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked No | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 109.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 108.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 61c | 102.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 57c | 95.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Yes | 42c | 90.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 57c | 83.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 58c | 77.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…2fc9backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 59c | 67.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes | 40c | 62.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 42c | 51.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 32c | 48.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Yes | 43c | 46.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 45.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 58c | 43.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc678…25ecbacked Yes | 31c | 40.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 57c | 38.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f5dcbacked Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 64c | 34.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 42c | 34.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13d…9ddabacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…317ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4498…35e6backed Yes | 42c | 24.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af7…37e2backed No | 57c | 20.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7486…c339backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.