Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8550daa8946ee20b4e46c95e9ea86e50e9fce5ad124dc8928c1e24c069c60ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 70c | 1,860$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.99 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 1,293$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.16 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 379.5$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 278.42$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.76 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed No | 77c | 274.51$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…a23dbacked No | 68c | 260.29$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 29cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 27c | 248.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 69c | 196.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 33c | 194.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 179.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 40c | 160.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 67c | 153.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 25c | 144.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Yes | 58c | 137.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 127.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 51c | 95.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 58c | 87.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 20c | 76.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 33c | 75.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 74.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Yes | 58c | 68.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 76c | 53.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 46.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked No | 28c | 43.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 36c | 33.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 65c | 29.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 65c | 29.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 65c | 29.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 44c | 26.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked No | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 22.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…cf90backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 67c | 20.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 68c | 16.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd1…0fe7backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?No won
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.