World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa68cd3b1f9fa774651b49a0679fe8d68e8dbf7d1b30d8bf4e9525704d0e72718
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3afe…01d4backed No | 24c | 7,415$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 74c | 6,739$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.92 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 22c | 6,038$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.95 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 20c | 3,964$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.25 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…1d4dbacked No | 19c | 3,928$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed No | 20c | 3,917$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…7409backed No | 14c | 3,650$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 22c | 3,246$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.04 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed Yes | 55c | 3,096$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba9…1eaebacked Yes | 78c | 2,812$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 10c | 2,433$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…f8aabacked Yes | 72c | 2,236$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 33c | 2,079$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.42 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 1,584$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.09 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 21c | 1,472$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.21 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 28c | 1,090$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.41 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e3bcbacked Yes | 60c | 1,079$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…c3ccbacked No | 17c | 1,065$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0df7backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…f963backed Yes | 75c | 935.88$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…ae4abacked Yes | 56c | 841.33$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 27c | 823.01$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…fe30backed No | 24c | 816.9$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…ae42backed Yes | 70c | 741.7$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 27c | 675.06$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.07 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…abc0backed Yes | 62c | 671.85$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…ab63backed Yes | 78c | 671.34$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 18c | 668.92$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 27c | 641.24$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.49 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…df38backed No | 19c | 593$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 52c | 586.96$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.03 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 62c | 562.24$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 44c | 550.1$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 493.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 25c | 461.3$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 5c | 453.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 29c | 445.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 22c | 440.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18df…faa1backed Yes | 73c | 425$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked No | 20c | 418.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 39c | 417.1$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 17c | 400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 22c | 395.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 56c | 385$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 13c | 370.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac3…14c8backed Yes | 69c | 363.44$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 21c | 360$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 32c | 358$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…c467backed Yes | 49c | 323.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 27c | 316$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 25c | 310$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 78c | 309.31$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 20c | 304$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 61c | 301.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f16…063dbacked Yes | 80c | 291.51$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…4202backed No | 26c | 289.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a17…2560backed Yes | 72c | 278.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…d2ebbacked No | 19c | 270$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…53dabacked Yes | 79c | 267.11$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 18c | 259.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 34c | 258.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42e…e152backed No | 14c | 254.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +336.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked No | 57c | 236.13$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…4b3cbacked Yes | 47c | 224$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 13c | 218.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcad7…2a9fbacked No | 37c | 209.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 57c | 201$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdb…4496backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c0c5backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…3dc3backed Yes | 76c | 183.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 180.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d4…8264backed Yes | 43c | 156.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…e85ebacked Yes | 71c | 156$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…5180backed Yes | 78c | 152.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 28c | 152.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 17c | 151.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 23c | 149.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…76cbbacked Yes | 38c | 148.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 19c | 131.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 125.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 123.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x632c…9c1ebacked Yes | 55c | 119.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 118.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…1402backed Yes | 72c | 109.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 23c | 103.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 16c | 100.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 34c | 100.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee34…02d1backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa284…fbbabacked No | 32c | 95.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 35c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da2…ef4abacked Yes | 45c | 93.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 36c | 86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 23c | 83.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc419…618ebacked Yes | 48c | 82.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 13c | 81.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…a9aabacked Yes | 76c | 78.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?this page
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.