World Politics · resolved market
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0111a2756734a64f9d70fd6b8f8ed3bb583b19935a2fccc62b0c98b3f1557eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 14c | 15,695$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed Yes | 31c | 13,174$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…01d4backed Yes | 20c | 13,155$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128b…7c4fbacked Yes | 25c | 6,137$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…071dbacked Yes | 20c | 4,119$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 32c | 4,088$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…1d4dbacked Yes | 24c | 4,021$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 77c | 3,061$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.1 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0df7backed Yes | 11c | 2,059$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…181abacked Yes | 11c | 1,783$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…c3ccbacked Yes | 17c | 1,712$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 1,657$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.42 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 1,647$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.22 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 1,341$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.66 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 1,306$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.46 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 33c | 1,233$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…0332backed Yes | 16c | 1,230$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 1,108$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.61 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,090$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.48 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 73c | 1,083$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.32 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…4202backed Yes | 17c | 981.74$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 33c | 961.58$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.24 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c4…f486backed Yes | 7c | 924$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 63c | 920.42$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.9 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaca…c585backed Yes | 19c | 900$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 16c | 870.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 794$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.37 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…c467backed Yes | 23c | 724.06$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Yes | 30c | 677.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 72c | 674.36$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.73 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked Yes | 25c | 668.54$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…abc0backed Yes | 36c | 645.53$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabcb…b294backed Yes | 31c | 640.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Yes | 19c | 603.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…d43cbacked Yes | 31c | 600$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 53c | 550.86$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…135dbacked Yes | 45c | 535.81$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 35c | 521.29$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…ae4abacked Yes | 61c | 513.13$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317b…c4c3backed Yes | 61c | 504.24$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…620dbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 32c | 485.17$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…ae42backed Yes | 42c | 478.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 77c | 451.13$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…53dabacked Yes | 69c | 421.03$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 18c | 410$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 9c | 405.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 20c | 396.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 14c | 394.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 41c | 385$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 362.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 25c | 350$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b07…c39ebacked Yes | 21c | 341.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Yes | 22c | 339.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 70c | 333$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.77 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c6…a43abacked Yes | 8c | 326.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 19c | 309.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 71c | 308$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 14c | 290.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…f963backed Yes | 17c | 263.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…a3c1backed Yes | 21c | 251.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…df38backed Yes | 17c | 250$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659a…9568backed Yes | 6c | 237.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 71c | 230$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee34…02d1backed Yes | 55c | 230$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 63c | 223.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9592backed Yes | 62c | 206.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1e…1e21backed No | 73c | 204.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 11c | 203.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 78c | 201$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19c…2467backed Yes | 6c | 200.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…104abacked No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2aaebacked Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 11c | 197.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…d2ebbacked Yes | 17c | 195$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349d…155cbacked Yes | 16c | 186.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 186.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…8b89backed Yes | 15c | 183.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes | 19c | 178.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 62c | 176.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 170.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…f13abacked Yes | 21c | 170$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…836fbacked Yes | 31c | 158.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…242cbacked Yes | 18c | 157.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 34c | 149.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…ab43backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 70c | 139.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +288.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 12c | 134.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b6…330cbacked Yes | 12c | 134.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…e85ebacked Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…b6afbacked Yes | 16c | 129.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 129.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 66c | 124.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 43c | 118.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd945…170abacked Yes | 12c | 115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes | 28c | 113$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 112.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes won
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.