TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,508 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd34b…0004backed No29c6,533$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.065253.8%28 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No19c5,380$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.511,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Yes69c4,954$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.8211852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes70c4,476$3,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.0614352.4%75 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No31c2,617$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.064032.5%13 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No16c2,121$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Yes66c2,000$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69029146%134 W · 157 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ff…013abacked No24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No22c1,990$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.5238931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Yes69c1,849$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.228344.6%37 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No32c1,662$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.578854.5%48 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked No29c1,620$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.9529028.3%82 W · 208 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9612…4b27backed Yes70c1,253$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.471855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed No27c1,115$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009941.4%41 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed No32c799.9$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9742934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ce…fef8backed No29c761.38$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No3c752$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5819411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes80c715$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed No28c689.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.981,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1400…ffd6backed No29c686.62$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.39837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fa…468dbacked Yes70c671.35$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x989a…7823backed Yes77c650.13$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.13742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No19c632$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9136839.1%144 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed Yes68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19211248.2%54 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e3f…32a4backed No30c545.53$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes68c499.98$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9922449.6%111 W · 113 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes72c481.05$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.696972.5%50 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No14c417.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed No17c416.39$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7212025.8%31 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes70c399.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1192142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Yes65c367.53$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1732050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab3…d47cbacked No32c360.83$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.811143.2%48 W · 63 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No10c345.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefab…8f1fbacked Yes74c332.49$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ab0…7d89backed No31c317.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes74c292.31$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7612250.8%62 W · 60 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes79c290.85$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8514843.9%65 W · 83 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b2…c186backed Yes72c273.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.473100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc105…2897backed Yes72c271.45$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No30c239.9$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.951526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-58.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Yes71c216.67$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.337548%36 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No38c207.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.489043.3%39 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3d…1702backed Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes72c184.51$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.668035%28 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No35c162.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9713641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5edc…bbadbacked No22c159.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5d…ff7ebacked Yes70c157.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c72…38cebacked Yes69c156.52$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No23c152.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.574652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482070%14 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes73c149.03$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.042934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Yes69c141.52$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.352835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ff5…7447backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a2…e4bfbacked Yes74c131.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+51.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked Yes68c114.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211256.3%63 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes65c111$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8516355.8%91 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No24c109.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86a0…a974backed Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…052abacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2639534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x171f…6190backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3138741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219f…7bd7backed Yes74c95.64$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3e…9c71backed Yes68c79.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.572955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eff…8897backed No32c74.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…009fbacked Yes70c70.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0413334.6%46 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64c3…75abbacked Yes70c70.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0411545.2%52 W · 63 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06d4…8264backed Yes72c68.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.121687.5%14 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+41.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9205…2aa7backed No32c65.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Yes75c64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168154.3%44 W · 37 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-16%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6183…3834backed Yes70c62.26$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes73c59.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf824…778cbacked Yes69c58.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2fe…09c9backed Yes69c56.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5922049.5%109 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No28c51.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3890…41a3backed No33c49.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.19825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa143…5b6fbacked No32c47.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c3f…11f4backed No30c46.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb0…8880backed Yes76c45.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…6958backed Yes75c45.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.311942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ab8…6eaabacked No33c42.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.076137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82d…0c40backed Yes73c40.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e48…38babacked No33c37.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3346…77c5backed Yes69c36.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x038c…0290backed Yes69c35.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0dd…677bbacked Yes76c35.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.534351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes73c35.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.531,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf40…9e76backed Yes62c34.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.34165.9%27 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No38c31.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.841735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6783…8caebacked Yes72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3c…a82cbacked Yes68c29.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.424055%22 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x022c…926abacked Yes68c29.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.42650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb4…1863backed Yes70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.421573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x169d…e8dbbacked Yes71c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.03683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.