TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfc3c…a82c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT4055%22 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.95
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.42
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.79
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$26.73
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$21.63
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+164.8%+$19.11
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$10.12
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondarbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$12
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wangbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.67
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Roland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Safiullinbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$16.78
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$16.5
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$5.62
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+183.5%+$55.06
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$7.21
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+436.5%+$63.28
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kingsbacked Karachi Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$23.12
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$25.77
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Rawalpindi Pindiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$11.24
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.25
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Multan Sultansbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.11
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.79
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.36
T20 Series Nepal vs UAE: Nepal vs United Arab Emiratesbacked Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Quetta Gladiatorsbacked Quetta Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
T20 Series Nepal vs UAE: Nepal vs United Arab Emiratesbacked Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.25
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-55.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$32.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.