La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6dfda16414f01396bb4b798e28c64af459df5af372bc2c919629c5321e0fad6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 19c | 10,246$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 1c | 2,439$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 78c | 2,348$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.46 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 18c | 1,757$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.78 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 16c | 1,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 11c | 1,455$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 18c | 1,299$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 17c | 723.53$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 14c | 600$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 10c | 539.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 340$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 18c | 279.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 16c | 241.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…a82cbacked Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 17c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 17c | 82.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f8…8630backed Under | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5this page
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.