TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over35c56,751$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c11,252$7,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,903.353,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ee…78ffbacked Under79c8,947$7,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.53450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under67c6,566$4,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.7450249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under75c5,465$4,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.11070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under66c3,840$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.491,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under79c3,808$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.756858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over28c3,449$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.87319.7%3 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under65c3,200$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12011054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under65c2,400$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8409457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over33c2,117$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over33c1,997$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.52222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over31c1,800$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55817128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over24c1,790$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.7856439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under65c1,615$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.2520159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under65c1,400$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49010760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under65c1,300$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.1363757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under72c1,238$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.1782844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42010558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under65c1,184$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.46360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under66c1,049$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.86160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36011154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3507358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under64c886$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.965757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28010257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over30c700$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2091631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over6c660.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.011145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21010759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2109056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over28c599.55$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5213728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under66c566.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.041,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under65c520$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1829058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under65c520$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1829556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17512863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17512066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57ea…a2b2backed Under68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…6a2cbacked Under68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.181145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under66c407$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.381,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under66c378$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5289050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under66c378$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.521,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over21c370.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.41,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over28c324$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.72287.1%2 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under65c320$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1129753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under65c312$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.29660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under65c312$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.29354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under68c291.9$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.413844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under72c288.48$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8768050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under66c247.81$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7739338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under68c219.01$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1432545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under67c205.71$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9148251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Under72c201.39$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3922350.2%112 W · 111 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under75c173.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.334973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under67c166$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7828045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over17c161$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3783640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under64c158.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9712042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.520252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252085%17 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892576%19 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.995050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over16c112$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9220241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over32c111.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.18846.6%41 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under72c102.74$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.771471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3517759.3%105 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3315344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3410752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3717044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3616149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ffb…b2f8backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4140%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over17c93.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.425119.6%10 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.83661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289163.7%58 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Under67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.632152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under73c74.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.079750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over33c63.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0518747.1%88 W · 99 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under66c60.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3745250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Under67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.73956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over20c59.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8533244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under68c59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.883560%21 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over31c58.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc85f…2a5ebacked Over26c55.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.26110%0 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under66c53.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.131,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over28c52.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7411046.4%51 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over33c51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8338748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf6d…fc98backed Over27c50.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.652516%4 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91d9…6c60backed Over32c47.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.061060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under68c43.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9612964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.