La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb276a9b7729ed1274c74443180f4b66769555c771087896ba453c7c08758af1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Sociedad de Fútbolof Girona FC, Real Sociedad de Fútbol
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 74c | 2,337$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.62 | 533 | 49.5%264 W · 269 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 2,255$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.85 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Girona FC | 20c | 2,236$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.45 | 734 | 39.5%290 W · 444 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Girona FC | 25c | 1,824$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.93 | 4,868 | 47%2,287 W · 2,581 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 1,789$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.03 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 75c | 1,331$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.79 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 79c | 1,261$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.07 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Girona FC | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 1,088$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.69 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Girona FC | 26c | 1,021$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.47 | 1,263 | 32.5%411 W · 852 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Girona FC | 26c | 912.73$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.31 | 1,333 | 51.2%683 W · 650 L | +19.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 76c | 640.21$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Girona FC | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 202 | 25.2%51 W · 151 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Girona FC | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 121 | 19%23 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Girona FC | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 137 | 62%85 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Girona FC | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Girona FC | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 126 | 66.7%84 W · 42 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Girona FC | 27c | 443.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Girona FC | 26c | 405.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 755 | 50.7%383 W · 372 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Girona FC | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 749 | 55%412 W · 337 L | +20.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 304.89$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Girona FC | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Girona FC | 28c | 236.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Girona FC | 21c | 233.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 1,685 | 44%741 W · 944 L | -21.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 76c | 150.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 1,087 | 50.6%550 W · 537 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 74c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Girona FC | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Girona FC | 9c | 114$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Girona FC | 27c | 107.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…9588backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 76c | 97.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 78.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 59.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Girona FC | 26c | 58.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Girona FC | 27c | 46.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Girona FC | 25c | 44.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…27acbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…142fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 17.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 15.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 2,409 | 48.4%1,165 W · 1,244 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)this page
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.