TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Girona FCof Real Sociedad de Fútbol, Girona FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,515 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c76…862dbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol10c3,685$369 inLost-$368.544454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol10c1,500$150 inLost-$15013419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol10c547.44$54 inLost-$53.84852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol10c500$50 inLost-$5022839.9%91 W · 137 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol10c400$40 inLost-$39.9313347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol9c253.56$22 inLost-$22.432,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol18c200$35 inLost-$35.317526.9%47 W · 128 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacd1…0689backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol11c185.68$20 inLost-$203732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol11c159.27$18 inLost-$17.528342.2%35 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol10c149.1$14 inLost-$14.196163.9%39 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol10c149.1$14 inLost-$14.193056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol10c149.09$14 inLost-$14.193158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c83…b625backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol10c143.17$15 inLost-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+141.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeceb…29a4backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol10c138.1$13 inLost-$13.21330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol11c133$15 inLost-$14.6322859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol10c100$10 inLost-$101,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5f…0614backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol18c83.33$15 inLost-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol19c73.66$14 inLost-$13.7341323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.