TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over57c44,033$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c16,295$7,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,381.0283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c14,766$6,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,348.021,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c10,066$4,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,668.272,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over53c9,440$5,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,003.212553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Under55c8,990$4,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,045.53441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Over57c7,010$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,995.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under47c6,631$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,514.668351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over56c4,825$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,72517731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over54c4,487$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.2214146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.831250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2809443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24014250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over56c3,540$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under44c3,468$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.8950449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under43c3,200$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82411054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c3,183$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.4668450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over55c2,689$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.8748251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under46c2,660$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4364141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under38c2,648$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.1812020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under44c2,561$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.6257139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Under55c2,486$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.571546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under43c2,400$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3689457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over55c2,364$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3006550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under51c2,322$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1453444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over44c2,245$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98817128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.221942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c2,208$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.063,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick28cpaid-80.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over45c1,670$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.522939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under43c1,400$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79810760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under58c1,379$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.316858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68410558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c1,149$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.51,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under46c1,104$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.161172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under45c1,068$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.1613347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under46c1,051$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.541478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over57c1,035$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5904146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Under38c1,013$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.17744.2%34 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over55c1,005$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.7422246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5707358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over57c984.28$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…bfffbacked Over57c895.34$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under43c886$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.025757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x181b…4941backed Over57c882.46$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Under44c818.18$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.181546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over56c812.31$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.3274457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45612159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45610257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over56c697.48$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.111,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Under45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34210759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3429056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over56c571.43$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under43c520$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.49058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under43c520$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.49556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28512863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd2c…e8e8backed Over40c500$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28512066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.993743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under44c499.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.997346.6%34 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over56c488.79$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.727560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under46c428.28$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.273844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.612445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under45c399.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2206756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over56c391.5$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2422455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c387.14$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2664457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under46c382.87$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7540357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under44c362.3$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.896261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over19c359.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under43c320$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.49753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under43c312$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.849660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under43c312$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.849354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d8…c70fbacked Over56c303.57$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.55435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c296.89$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4540239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under45c295.63$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.648347%39 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Over56c286.36$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.363834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Under35c276.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.53825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over61c265.65$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16312875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under65c254.84$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.313740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over54c248.5$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1999933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a2…b5b7backed Over57c246.56$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over67c243$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.816852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over30c229.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2460832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over56c223.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e3…810cbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over51c221.88$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.166256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over64c221.88$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under50c221.69$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.853450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over57c217.54$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1248041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c214.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under45c213.42$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.751275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.