La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60daa344474cc5b7234632e178c266a414570234bebecb20ced041fbc0ff1ffe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 10c | 6,818$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.1 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 77c | 5,500$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 16c | 4,934$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.04 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 23c | 3,926$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.9 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 79c | 3,319$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.87 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 20c | 1,044$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.58 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 17c | 725.11$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 683.44$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.86 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 21c | 647.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 613.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 21c | 532.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…89a0backed Over | 79c | 513$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 79c | 481.7$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 21c | 460$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 21c | 459.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 21c | 341.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 6c | 336$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 80c | 320$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 21c | 256$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 20c | 242.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 7c | 240$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Under | 26c | 216.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 31c | 207.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 9c | 179.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 79c | 179.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Over | 79c | 164.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…17fcbacked Over | 70c | 156.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 77c | 128.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 19c | 115.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over | 78c | 102$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…95b3backed Over | 80c | 101.88$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 21c | 100.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 22c | 89.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 31c | 80.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Under | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 70c | 72.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 78c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 72c | 65.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 79c | 50.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 80c | 50.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…f0dcbacked Over | 79c | 50.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 79c | 49.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Over | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d52…550abacked Over | 79c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…5812backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5this page
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.