Cricket · resolved market
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs USA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94210c11ed45b7c89fa94bdc9b16c271217133b2bd83e74dc032d24ef169d1f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof Scotland, USA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Scotland | 23c | 1,537$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.05 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Scotland | 11c | 1,300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.01 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked USA | 80c | 1,125$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.65 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…5291backed Scotland | 2c | 881.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Scotland | 7c | 828.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Scotland | 50c | 802.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Scotland | 23c | 800$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Scotland | 10c | 780.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Scotland | 28c | 487.77$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f3…3173backed Scotland | 21c | 471.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…74bfbacked Scotland | 12c | 385.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Scotland | 35c | 374.3$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Scotland | 49c | 341.87$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked USA | 49c | 324.38$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.43 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Scotland | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 116 | 25%29 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…ab9fbacked Scotland | 5c | 273.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…1efbbacked USA | 66c | 222.58$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked USA | 79c | 219$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked USA | 63c | 216.48$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Scotland | 8c | 210.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed USA | 72c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed Scotland | 29c | 199.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Scotland | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed USA | 79c | 179.82$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…aaa1backed Scotland | 20c | 174.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Scotland | 27c | 173.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…930abacked Scotland | 22c | 167.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed USA | 68c | 147.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Scotland | 26c | 146.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed USA | 49c | 133.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed USA | 51c | 121.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Scotland | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked USA | 67c | 110.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked USA | 52c | 100.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked USA | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked USA | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed Scotland | 26c | 98.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Scotland | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Scotland | 50c | 95.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed USA | 50c | 83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed USA | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147f…5f7bbacked USA | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked USA | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Scotland | 49c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Scotland | 51c | 57.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked Scotland | 24c | 54.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…4395backed Scotland | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Scotland | 48c | 52.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…6720backed USA | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…7a9cbacked Scotland | 33c | 44.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…a82cbacked USA | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f0…dcb8backed Scotland | 27c | 39.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6839…86b1backed USA | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33d…bb87backed USA | 52c | 38.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b471backed Scotland | 36c | 36.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…fa5cbacked USA | 65c | 35.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed USA | 50c | 32.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed Scotland | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…36e5backed USA | 52c | 29.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4d0abacked USA | 70c | 28.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…55d5backed USA | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed USA | 72c | 28.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed USA | 59c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed USA | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…d7f9backed USA | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac0…2aa2backed USA | 54c | 22.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2457…43ecbacked Scotland | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…8557backed USA | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…72b2backed USA | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed USA | 75c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.