TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd33d…bb87

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.71
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$11.37
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$22.92
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$13.44
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$11.51
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$8.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$18.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.