MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f6c6d730de27ffd48ca83c1e0cfa6b89ff278d290d641f71dc1705b868aa1a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Baltimore Orioles, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $462,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 34,873$16,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,237.95 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 27,713$11,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,365.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 26,409$15,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,843.39 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 18,689$8,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,841.48 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 16,670$8,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,495.76 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 16,033$9,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,894.12 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 15,443$8,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 12,639$7,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.77 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 10,628$5,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.98 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 8,508$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.47 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 6,868$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,455.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 6,467$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 6,261$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.26 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 5,823$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 5,416$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.72 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 5,377$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.05 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 5,271$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.15 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 5,131$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.27 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 4,840$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.86 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa986…b4b5backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 4,286$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 4,167$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.96 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 3,171$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 3,150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,880$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 2,804$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.51 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 2,572$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.06 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,352$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.93 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 2,165$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.91 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,130$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 1,814$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.98 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,738$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,714$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,682$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.46 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,595$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.15 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,560$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.92 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,555$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.1 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,553$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.37 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,429$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…a160backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,235$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.29 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,175$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.25 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,159$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.01 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 1,039$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,016$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.33 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 987.76$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.1 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 838.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 831.03$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.72 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 805.14$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…0a3fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 700.08$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.04 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 683.63$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.05 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 631.22$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.94 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 620.61$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.98 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 588.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.1 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 529.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 527$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.61 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…929fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaecd…75b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 490.82$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 487.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.19 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 474.61$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 462.01$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.09 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Seattle Mariners | 71c | 420.01$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 403.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 391.31$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 379.86$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 370.27$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 367.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 366.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 357.66$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 322.28$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 309.54$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 308.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 304.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 297.26$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 294.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 291$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.