NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x402f77e9689a11d02fab42e12889f8122e1bded2968a3b7489e22e3f09dd9616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Stars, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,540,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,571,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,540,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 665 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Stars | 47c | 562,290$264,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264,276.33 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Wild | 54c | 335,000$180,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Wild | 53c | 299,999$158,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,999.42 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Stars | 46c | 200,000$92,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,999.95 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Stars | 46c | 152,500$70,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,149.96 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wild | 53c | 85,129$44,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,242.97 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wild | 53c | 58,028$30,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,273.02 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Wild | 53c | 45,000$23,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,150 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Wild | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Wild | 53c | 37,296$19,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,529.22 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Stars | 46c | 37,142$17,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,227.16 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Stars | 47c | 34,418$16,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,091.71 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wild | 69c | 30,704$21,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,383.72 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Wild | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Wild | 55c | 27,357$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,356.77 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Wild | 53c | 25,007$13,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,753.29 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stars | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 52c | 25,000$13,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,899.88 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Stars | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Stars | 48c | 21,021$10,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,090.15 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Stars | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Stars | 35c | 20,000$6,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,949.92 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Stars | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.9 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wild | 53c | 19,571$10,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,260.81 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Stars | 47c | 19,149$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Stars | 48c | 18,353$8,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,801.62 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild | 53c | 18,165$9,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,618.97 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wild | 53c | 17,150$9,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,075.69 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Stars | 32c | 15,425$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wild | 71c | 13,172$9,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.44 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Wild | 54c | 12,195$6,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,609.7 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wild | 53c | 11,478$6,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.02 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 53c | 11,000$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Wild | 54c | 10,185$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wild | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Stars | 48c | 9,646$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630.29 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…5809backed Wild | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Stars | 47c | 9,100$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Wild | 54c | 8,280$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.46 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wild | 52c | 7,763$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.3 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Wild | 57c | 7,732$4,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.4 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Stars | 42c | 7,000$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Stars | 47c | 6,939$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.12 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Stars | 38c | 6,006$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.42 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Wild | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Stars | 48c | 5,746$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.67 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wild | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.2 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Wild | 70c | 5,618$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.67 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Wild | 70c | 5,618$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.67 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked Stars | 35c | 5,499$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stars | 43c | 4,748$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.54 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Stars | 48c | 4,600$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Wild | 54c | 4,104$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.7 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Stars | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Stars | 47c | 3,830$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Wild | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Stars | 48c | 3,171$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.11 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Stars | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Wild | 60c | 3,092$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.58 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wild | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Wild | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Stars | 48c | 2,970$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.46 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wild | 53c | 2,895$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.16 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 31c | 2,889$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.86 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Wild | 69c | 2,885$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.67 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed Stars | 45c | 2,379$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.55 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 52c | 2,195$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.27 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Wild | 52c | 2,147$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.76 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Stars | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Stars | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wild | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.01 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Stars | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Stars | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Stars | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Stars | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wild | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Wild | 61c | 1,959$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.88 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Wild | 53c | 1,869$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.32 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Wild | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Stars | 50c | 1,823$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.44 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Wild | 58c | 1,698$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.21 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Wild | 53c | 1,634$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.96 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Wild | 35c | 1,630$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.35 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wild | 62c | 1,516$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.12 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Wild | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Stars | 37c | 1,420$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.5 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Wild | 52c | 1,389$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.92 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Stars | 48c | 1,371$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.14 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Stars | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Stars | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Wild | 39c | 1,271$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.78 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Wild | 55c | 1,255$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.1 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Stars | 1c | 1,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…11c4backed Stars | 45c | 1,236$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Stars | 34c | 1,160$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.7 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Stars | 47c | 1,154$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…5bf6backed Stars | 45c | 1,152$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Stars | 29c | 1,148$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Wildthis page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.