TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47a8…52f9backed Under61c100,000$61,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,999.957545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over39c41,373$16,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,237.5740351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over39c24,000$9,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,64041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over39c8,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,88013049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over39c7,000$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2701,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over24c5,788$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,422.9942254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c5,122$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.582,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over39c4,972$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.929948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over39c3,588$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.6883149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8301,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over39c2,869$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.0666552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under3c1,125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick4cpaid+150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over41c1,082$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.528749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Over39c984.62$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.621145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under68c961.22$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.882,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c908.17$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.9876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Under53c756.59$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.349231.5%29 W · 63 L-12.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over39c742.13$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.727044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over42c733.33$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.3356553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under3c691.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1935551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Over47c599.72$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.659545.3%43 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Over39c594.87$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.878749.4%43 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over19c554.14$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.711,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Under3c534.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1940%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad7f…d0d4backed Under79c512.94$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.961442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Over30c507$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.94447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over23c422$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.4431828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under3c408.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.883839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over30c402.75$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9338551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under61c340$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under25c339.68$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.684748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under62c310.93$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.781,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1837149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under52c264.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.291,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Over42c236.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under49c224.55$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.487642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over40c210.89$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.383,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under62c201.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12539751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1470%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Over30c192$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.488345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under76c189$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9922250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over40c166.67$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10059450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec5…4168backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004468.2%30 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Under64c151.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.724134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Over39c128$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over38c120.25$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4650251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under48c108$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4834547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.561,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Under53c102$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.063650%18 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under62c101.41$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8711648.3%56 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Over39c91.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.531631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over39c82.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.055846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under55c75.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.588964%57 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over41c73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0753849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over30c69.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9735829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Under65c68.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8212152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Under58c63.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.411421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-59.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under70c57.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9311933.6%40 W · 79 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over42c55.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2733647.9%161 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under70c55.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2416443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over30c54.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3429533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under47c53.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9192049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.289846.9%46 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over39c51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.112450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Under62c50.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0312859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3282353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce16…585abacked Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.545069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over50c49.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2512357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Under61c45.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813442.5%57 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over25c43.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.831844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under41c41.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1765721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Over39c41.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2420857.7%120 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under51c40.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4612045.8%55 W · 65 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45e6…a1ecbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ad…5097backed Under61c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.572339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over54c38.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.937152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under57c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.451343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.689355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c4b…839fbacked Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed Under61c34.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under55c33.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.292955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6434…1487backed Under60c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d0…d20bbacked Under65c30.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over41c30.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0241050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa601…c58fbacked Under67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Under61c27.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.013961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0a…a3b9backed Under76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under59c24.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2661959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd44…225ebacked Under55c21.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under70c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9914045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under61c19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.591,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099b…428abacked Under70c18.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Under74c18.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.451050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0439…5847backed Under61c18.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1750%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc6d4…523cbacked Under62c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.543040%12 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.