TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Wild (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Wild32c3,747$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.2428749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wild41c3,148$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.52,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Stars68c3,072$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.1533652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Stars68c1,853$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.751,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Wild32c1,253$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.631723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Wild32c1,144$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.7411933.6%40 W · 79 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Stars68c1,059$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.2422946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Stars53c1,040$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.194447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Stars42c1,032$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.6331828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Stars76c719.18$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Stars65c663.34$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.213754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Stars68c600$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Stars53c560$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29929533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wild44c508.59$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.522,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Wild22c454.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.4819033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Wild41c402$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.557152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c7…5d22backed Wild32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.58445.2%38 W · 46 L+14.8wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+35.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd977…0e61backed Wild42c305$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Stars69c280$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.321,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Stars70c274.01$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7642254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4889…359ebacked Wild32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Wild31c241.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9415145%68 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars79c214.38$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.513,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Stars52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Wild45c180.84$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2910743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Stars52c156$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7638551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Stars67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Stars70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Wild27c135$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.057642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Wild31c119$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4315535.5%55 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wild48c118.4$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.131,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Stars70c114.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Stars69c110.14$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Wild48c104.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.363828.9%11 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Wild30c80.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1950251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Stars79c79.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.813259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Stars52c74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.488345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Wild53c73.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.394748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Wild44c71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7392049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Stars75c70.82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8282353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Stars72c67.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.621,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Stars70c62.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4433660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x963f…4487backed Stars80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed Wild32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59054.4%49 W · 41 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49e4…8282backed Stars75c59.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Stars66c59.53$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Wild31c58.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5347024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Stars77c58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6660449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Stars70c57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.923063%145 W · 85 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0514…def7backed Wild51c54.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.521127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stars67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.51,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Stars70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Wild34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3345069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Stars67c45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.271,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Stars68c44.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e1…65a4backed Wild50c43.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.771631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-53.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Stars70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016959.8%101 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Stars69c41.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5928847.2%136 W · 152 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Wild31c40.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1341050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Stars50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Stars66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c5c…e316backed Wild47c37.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Stars68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Wild57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0939751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Wild35c34.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.464427.3%12 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb633…871abacked Stars53c32.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551a…b3dcbacked Wild32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.253745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ecb…87ddbacked Wild32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Stars64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Stars70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2169061.6%425 W · 265 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Stars66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Stars75c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Stars69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204477.3%34 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Stars70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022763.4%144 W · 83 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Wild40c27.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.814855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Stars59c27.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1636561.9%226 W · 139 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Stars41c26.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0112758.3%74 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Stars79c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3816443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Stars68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.697955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Stars70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149156%51 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Stars79c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.013183.9%26 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick76cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Stars76c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1638447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Stars64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ea0…fcddbacked Stars80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.