NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2f31fce9e2ece9bd29438703a4bc7c341c54b87f842b915e3ee6dba8d41765b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 27c | 4,056$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.89 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 3,428$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.58 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 7c | 1,604$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 26c | 665.37$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Under | 74c | 633.67$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.75 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 23c | 582$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 8c | 321.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 73c | 298.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 28c | 252.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 73c | 237.76$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 30c | 219.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 33c | 202.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 74c | 101.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 69c | 100.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 35c | 100.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 72c | 84.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 17c | 73.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 75c | 62.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 72c | 27.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…760dbacked Under | 72c | 20.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 79c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 77c | 18.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Stars vs. WildWild won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.