TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Over52c17,053$8,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,185.391,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c15,000$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,05041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under47c12,500$5,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,87551045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under48c8,889$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,264.628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over45c4,101$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.966538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over53c3,412$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.613548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under47c3,400$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.971,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c2,908$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.842,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under48c2,627$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2616953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over53c2,252$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.5727044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x188e…70d8backed Under47c2,234$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Under48c1,660$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7975052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under1c1,502$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.131414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick4cpaid+150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52820147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4436…d11abacked Under48c1,006$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under31c1,003$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.8929533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4704042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under60c670.65$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over72c640.5$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under46c634.44$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.846456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c600$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28076950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under60c493.67$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29614151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under47c490.55$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5622946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over53c480$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.65749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over54c399.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.518046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over53c324.02$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2935829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over49c315.29$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2411933.6%40 W · 79 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13820350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over53c270.59$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1811648.3%56 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under59c265.61$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.071,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c255.81$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.742,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under21c210.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.169321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under46c190.58$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.679856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c179.52$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3814653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c166.21$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1250251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over40c149.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.293,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over53c147.05$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.115358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under47c139.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.824442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over43c139$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.254050%20 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over47c134.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5614855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c116.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6966552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5571952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3468…e71ebacked Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-55.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Under48c106.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.421421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-59.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over50c104.14$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0742254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over69c102.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2522250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under47c102.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9686549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed Over53c101$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.471752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under53c100.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7182353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622528%7 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477346.6%34 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4756553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under46c94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2433647.9%161 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under47c92.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.881,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c4b…839fbacked Under67c89.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under48c87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.769948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over48c81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.328652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Under48c78.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under19c75.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2541050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over64c70.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2612859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9653849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9e…53c2backed Over77c65.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.162387%20 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0833745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Over68c60.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.371566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.221155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under56c59.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.274748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under47c57.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.145651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under34c56.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1865721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under47c56.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.221,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under29c50.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8538551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.518941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2145069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under35c49.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.541,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe32a…efabbacked Under51c48.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over67c48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.811551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c6…7ff9backed Under47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.154233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over57c43.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8512357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under46c42.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6545151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.84953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under48c39.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7550%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3e2…b9efbacked Over53c35.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c3…9d16backed Under48c35.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Over45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Over45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.333948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Over45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.332334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9733…f01dbacked Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe452…4de3backed Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under56c31.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.378845.5%40 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under52c30.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.98757.5%50 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.616443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Over45c29.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.994134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e1c5backed Over53c27.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8310447.1%49 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over41c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3434547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.