MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8425d3c4ecb8ad00f3eb54393076197c946af1ff750ba71262fb9f3e53899451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Athletics, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $712,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $707,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 153,195$87,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,929.89 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 27c | 60,263$16,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,097.84 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 28,447$10,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,606.67 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 42c | 27,267$11,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,505.35 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics | 43c | 24,702$10,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,621.86 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics | 43c | 24,354$10,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,555.58 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 46c | 22,225$10,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,286.11 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 21,210$7,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,681.68 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Athletics | 43c | 17,442$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Athletics | 43c | 15,060$6,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,537.59 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 13,064$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747.97 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 43c | 12,207$5,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,187.97 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Athletics | 43c | 11,643$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020.29 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Athletics | 46c | 10,900$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Athletics | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed Athletics | 43c | 9,302$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 43c | 9,000$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.77 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Chicago Cubs | 10c | 8,939$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,086.59 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Athletics | 43c | 8,861$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.49 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 8,236$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900.84 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 79c | 8,151$6,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,426.11 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 6,905$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.56 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 17c | 6,495$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,419.25 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics | 43c | 6,150$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.61 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Chicago Cubs | 13c | 6,065$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,276.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 48c | 6,042$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.17 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…e42fbacked Chicago Cubs | 14c | 5,640$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 5,235$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.1 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 5,177$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.04 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…d15ebacked Athletics | 1c | 5,056$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Athletics | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Athletics | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.95 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Cubs | 18c | 4,997$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.13 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Athletics | 42c | 4,770$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.52 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…e36bbacked Chicago Cubs | 11c | 4,576$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.03 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Athletics | 42c | 4,506$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.45 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 4,438$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.17 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 58c | 3,860$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.8 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Athletics | 42c | 3,524$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.08 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Chicago Cubs | 12c | 3,462$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.2 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 74c | 3,437$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.44 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Athletics | 42c | 3,133$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.82 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…3e6ebacked Athletics | 1c | 3,003$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Athletics | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.89 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,876$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.92 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Chicago Cubs | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.14 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…6586backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,732$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +88%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Athletics | 43c | 2,665$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.95 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 1c | 2,505$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,418$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.93 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Athletics | 43c | 2,374$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.64 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Athletics | 43c | 2,329$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.47 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 43c | 2,173$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.33 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,106$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.79 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 43c | 2,093$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.18 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 52c | 2,016$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.18 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Athletics | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Athletics | 43c | 1,989$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.27 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 78c | 1,908$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.61 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…034dbacked Chicago Cubs | 20c | 1,879$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Athletics | 43c | 1,854$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.3 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Athletics | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,754$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.86 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,710$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.24 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago Cubs | 20c | 1,605$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.62 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 1,573$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.53 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 19c | 1,551$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Chicago Cubs | 7c | 1,345$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.94 | 175 | 17.1%30 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 44c | 1,279$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.73 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Athletics | 43c | 1,274$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.82 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 75c | 1,206$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.06 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 99 | 28.3%28 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Athletics | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 29c | 1,076$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.94 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,050$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Athletics | 56c | 1,047$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.15 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,020$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.98 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 1,011$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.6 | 451 | 59.2%267 W · 184 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Athletics | 44c | 1,006$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.47 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Athletics | 44c | 1,002$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.76 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 46c | 973.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.19 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 967.04$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.33 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 827.19$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.41 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 819.98$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.06 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 810.95$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.4 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 44c | 810$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.3 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Athletics | 60c | 783$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.45 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 735.49$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.26 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 731.83$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.83 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Athletics | 43c | 728.06$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.07 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 722$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.68 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.