NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf99b42652984acb2679ce1729acca79ca93cbb1eb6e512cf7153eedcd0b630e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Heat, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,012,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,348,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,012,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 70c | 431,882$303,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303,977.68 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pacers | 25c | 302,085$74,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227,087.98 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pacers | 24c | 150,520$35,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,632.77 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 33c | 84,155$27,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,579.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heat | 76c | 53,474$40,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,622.69 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Pacers | 32c | 51,286$16,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,920.11 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pacers | 24c | 47,491$11,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,093.48 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pacers | 33c | 46,457$15,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,111.95 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Pacers | 34c | 46,112$15,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,433.67 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Heat | 65c | 44,671$29,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,083.68 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Pacers | 21c | 42,674$8,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,712.4 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 65c | 42,347$27,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,325.5 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Heat | 0c | 42,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Heat | 76c | 40,000$30,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,399.98 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Pacers | 23c | 39,650$9,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,530.44 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Heat | 74c | 35,881$26,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,493.07 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Heat | 75c | 32,000$24,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,029.96 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Pacers | 22c | 29,942$6,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,373.04 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Pacers | 37c | 23,286$8,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,755.66 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 78c | 22,872$17,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,774.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Pacers | 38c | 20,480$7,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,792.08 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Pacers | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,200 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pacers | 47c | 19,808$9,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,538.64 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Heat | 77c | 19,615$15,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,133.62 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Heat | 1c | 19,569$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Heat | 76c | 18,200$13,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,836 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Pacers | 34c | 17,605$5,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,701.28 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Heat | 68c | 17,374$11,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,779.7 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Heat | 65c | 16,180$10,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,478.2 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Pacers | 49c | 15,852$7,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,073.38 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 69c | 15,647$10,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,851.17 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Pacers | 17c | 15,625$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,927.54 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 23c | 15,285$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,731.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pacers | 23c | 15,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,550.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Heat | 63c | 15,000$9,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,504.13 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Heat | 78c | 15,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…35e3backed Heat | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pacers | 31c | 15,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…46ecbacked Heat | 77c | 14,739$11,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,323.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 42c | 14,699$6,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,526.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pacers | 29c | 14,466$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,251.22 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Pacers | 40c | 13,835$5,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,362.12 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x04de…e928backed Heat | 76c | 12,538$9,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,528.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Pacers | 37c | 12,399$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,764.41 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 76c | 11,735$8,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,864.05 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Heat | 65c | 11,144$7,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,255.9 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Heat | 22c | 11,033$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.27 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Pacers | 27c | 10,671$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,789.83 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Heat | 63c | 10,518$6,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,661.7 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Pacers | 29c | 10,280$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,337.63 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pacers | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Heat | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Pacers | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,699.96 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 23c | 9,996$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.09 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed Heat | 15c | 9,586$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.24 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Heat | 77c | 9,552$7,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,367.23 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Pacers | 38c | 9,209$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,732.95 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Heat | 71c | 8,815$6,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,224.44 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers | 21c | 8,778$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,933.87 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Heat | 66c | 8,600$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,633 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Pacers | 22c | 8,362$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,542.61 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…5639backed Pacers | 24c | 8,302$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,309.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e17dbacked Pacers | 21c | 8,300$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,557 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Heat | 79c | 8,300$6,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,556.92 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pacers | 24c | 7,660$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,821.87 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Pacers | 21c | 7,500$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,915.6 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Heat | 11c | 7,431$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.12 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed Heat | 68c | 7,351$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat | 66c | 7,207$4,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,756.32 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Heat | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 61c | 6,667$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.01 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Pacers | 25c | 6,666$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.5 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…7799backed Pacers | 33c | 6,435$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Heat | 75c | 6,300$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Pacers | 24c | 5,980$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,544.82 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Heat | 48c | 5,675$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.54 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers | 21c | 5,400$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,243.76 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Pacers | 24c | 5,240$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Heat | 60c | 5,026$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.52 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Heat | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.3 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b8babacked Heat | 76c | 5,000$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Heat | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.15 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Heat | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Heat | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…bcabbacked Pacers | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Heat | 67c | 4,772$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.74 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Heat | 77c | 4,745$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Pacers | 34c | 4,651$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.66 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 77c | 4,602$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heat | 59c | 4,500$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.64 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Pacers | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Heat | 61c | 4,325$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Heat | 65c | 4,279$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.18 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…4385backed Heat | 76c | 4,239$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Heat | 71c | 4,225$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Pacers | 28c | 4,200$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.96 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Pacers | 20c | 4,192$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.77 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Heat | 76c | 4,073$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.24 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Heat | 76c | 4,048$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.52 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Heat | 0c | 4,047$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Pacersthis page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-5.5)Pacers won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Heat vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Heat vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 126.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 258.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 260.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 263.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 266.5Under won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.