TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Under48c1,594$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.1257950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over52c1,582$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.0958347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c746.51$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.884,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c728$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over54c671$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.664,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c359.07$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.231,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under46c347.96$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c322.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.693,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under49c306.12$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.882,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over51c264.66$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4249249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c248.52$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.084,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over54c227.7$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.721653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4217…6f10backed Under48c224.61$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef87…614bbacked Over53c219.64$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b0…f49abacked Under48c218$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…bf1ebacked Under47c218$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff2…38edbacked Over53c217.73$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d8…48c6backed Under47c217$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…8a56backed Over52c216.8$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc637…e858backed Over53c216.17$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacab…0db0backed Over52c216.16$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27c…4775backed Under48c215$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7d…223fbacked Over53c214.83$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb7…4de7backed Under47c214$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…1f3ebacked Over53c213.89$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533b…8afdbacked Over53c212.9$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed30…e165backed Under48c212$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb3a…8769backed Under47c212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x266c…7c8cbacked Under47c212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ca…5b0fbacked Over53c211.11$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe25…50a2backed Under47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2023…b084backed Over52c208.75$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f2…a58cbacked Over53c208.18$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd3…cf28backed Under47c207$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6f…d5d5backed Under47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8c…370bbacked Under47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1334…453cbacked Under47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x637d…6bbfbacked Over52c205.46$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf67…1bf3backed Over53c205.14$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…fc1bbacked Over52c205.12$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbbb…3a43backed Under48c205$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b7…eef7backed Under48c204$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe981…1d7abacked Over53c202.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6b…1101backed Under48c202$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a55…6e44backed Over53c201.82$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e51…7496backed Over52c201.6$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c6…9e50backed Over52c200.4$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe98d…0ba1backed Over52c200.2$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9668645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1a…4545backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68b…9807backed Under47c199$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc751…8330backed Over52c198.5$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd9…c3ccbacked Over53c198.01$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…8a78backed Over53c196.58$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef6…04d4backed Over53c196.42$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f97…78d3backed Under47c195$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5d…f650backed Over53c194.51$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a1…e554backed Under47c194$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3615…c274backed Under47c193$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…434cbacked Under47c191$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4954…1cb0backed Under48c190.39$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44dd…8f61backed Under48c190$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ee…022ebacked Under48c189$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7472…ea50backed Over53c188.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…26ddbacked Under48c188$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f3…be41backed Under47c188$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2c…8610backed Under47c188$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad7…df97backed Over52c187.84$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7c…4129backed Over53c187.64$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x925b…8bdebacked Under47c187$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9aa…8809backed Under48c187$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d0…931dbacked Over53c186.49$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf835…556ebacked Over53c185.12$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…d045backed Over53c183.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e6…7619backed Over53c183.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under46c182.95$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1629344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f6b…db02backed Over53c182.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe811…8e8ebacked Over52c182.54$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b6…7b4dbacked Over52c182.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a32…8822backed Under47c182$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cc…e464backed Under47c182$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce0b…fb92backed Under47c181$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed3…859ebacked Under46c177$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked Under58c173.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c166.83$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.71,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over53c162.52$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffb5…5a64backed Under48c159$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf4a…fe32backed Under48c159$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under16c156.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0120837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfe52…4115backed Under48c148$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.58540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b00…c3bdbacked Under47c146$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under49c143$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0719348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…7116backed Under48c134$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c131.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.412,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over52c129.01$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.931,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under49c122.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over49c115.32$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3721443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under46c112.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8962541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over54c111$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.061,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.