NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11551c44a2bcd09fb06c1892e793ef8da6d2ce90868fe41ee7f40c5c54153902

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pacersof Heat, Pacers
Resolved: Mar 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,022,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,023,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,022,812 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Heat	50c	514,813$256,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256,414.14	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Pacers	50c	200,000$100,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100,000	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Pacers	50c	150,000$75,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,000	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pacers	50c	150,000$75,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,000	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pacers	49c	106,508$52,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,251.02	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers	51c	97,000$49,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,530	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers	50c	61,059$30,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,529.3	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Heat	51c	57,893$29,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,525.29	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat	51c	56,288$28,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,711.06	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Pacers	48c	20,475$9,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,549.5	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Pacers	49c	19,141$9,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,761.82	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Pacers	49c	15,313$7,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,840.06	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat	53c	14,000$7,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,419.89	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat	51c	13,078$6,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,669.78	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Heat	49c	11,502$5,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,635.99	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Pacers	51c	11,229$5,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,502.21	149	53%79 W · 70 L	+10.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Heat	52c	10,725$5,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,577	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers	48c	8,546$4,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,474.75	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Heat	48c	7,571$3,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,634.08	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers	51c	7,258$3,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,569.49	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Pacers	51c	6,476$3,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,173.47	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers	49c	6,152$3,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,144.65	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pacers	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Heat	49c	5,483$2,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,698.07	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat	49c	4,949$2,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,425.42	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92fc…2f25backed Heat	51c	4,263$2,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,173.88	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers	49c	3,750$1,838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,912.56	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Heat	51c	2,595$1,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,323.01	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers	51c	2,572$1,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,264.82	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Pacers	51c	2,256$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,105.56	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Heat	47c	2,018$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.27	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Pacers	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pacers	50c	2,000$1,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$992.94	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Pacers	47c	1,900$893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Pacers	51c	1,500$771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.98	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Heat	49c	1,460$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.4	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Pacers	50c	1,440$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.99	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Heat	51c	1,376$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.98	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Heat	51c	1,369$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.39	260	48.1%125 W · 135 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Heat	48c	1,291$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.58	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Heat	51c	1,184$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.51	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Heat	49c	1,083$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.48	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Pacers	47c	1,070$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.1	186	51.6%96 W · 90 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Heat	50c	1,057$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.56	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Heat	52c	1,024$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.21	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Heat	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Heat	50c	990$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	175	40.6%71 W · 104 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Pacers	51c	980$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.2	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Heat	53c	942.21$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	206	51.5%106 W · 100 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Heat	46c	750$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.5	796	50.9%405 W · 391 L	+63.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Pacers	51c	700$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Pacers	50c	652.48$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323	107	48.6%52 W · 55 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pacers	51c	588.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.24	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Heat	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Pacers	51c	556.86$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.86	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pacers	48c	552.94$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.13	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Pacers	47c	530.62$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.23	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	47c	529.46$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.1	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Pacers	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9926…aea3backed Heat	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Heat	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Heat	51c	499$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.49	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Heat	51c	448.46$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	395	52.2%206 W · 189 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…aa1ebacked Heat	50c	444$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Heat	39c	408.01$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.31	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Heat	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	288	38.2%110 W · 178 L	-17.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ea…1b1abacked Heat	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Heat	52c	400$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.67	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Heat	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Pacers	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Pacers	48c	394.96$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.05	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Heat	49c	394$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.06	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Heat	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Pacers	52c	373.71$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.71	118	55.1%65 W · 53 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b8b…95e3backed Heat	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Pacers	51c	365.63$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.63	180	55%99 W · 81 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Heat	50c	365$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.5	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x375a…e49fbacked Pacers	47c	347.85$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.36	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6b…4dbfbacked Pacers	47c	346.35$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe71d…2495backed Pacers	47c	345.64$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.19	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc958…6e93backed Pacers	47c	344.58$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b7…7c45backed Heat	54c	335.27$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9430…e839backed Heat	54c	332.67$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd559…1646backed Heat	54c	331.17$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…a9b4backed Heat	54c	322.9$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Heat	43c	312$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.56	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Pacers	50c	307.1$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.1	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Pacers	48c	304.41$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.6	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Heat	50c	300.54$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Heat	51c	300$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Heat	33c	299.99$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	428	45.1%193 W · 235 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Pacers	50c	293.06$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.53	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Heat	38c	262.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.03	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-5.6wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Heat	52c	251.36$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.65	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf96…5156backed Pacers	51c	247.06$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.06	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pacers	47c	232.13$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.03	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Heat	51c	229.36$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.44	423	52.5%222 W · 201 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Heat	53c	227.92$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.8	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Heat	38c	218.61$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.85	185	34.1%63 W · 122 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Pacers	50c	209.31$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.62	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event