TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9926…aea3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 62 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+48.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$449.28
Swedish Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$188.35
Braunschweig: Daniel Rincon vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+248.6%+$497.21
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$2,533.33
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+161.3%+$322.58
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$612.9
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Koppbacked Inaki Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+125%+$374.85
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$978.95
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra Ealabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+300%+$900
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landalucebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomerybacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$184.76
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$1,150
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will GamerLegion win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Legacy win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$363.49
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.38
Will FUT Esports win PGL Bucharest 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.15
Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will 3DMAX win PGL Bucharest 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+48.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+681.3%+$136.26
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$888.63
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.68
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$426.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+142.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Kent vs Nottinghamshirebacked Nottinghamshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$156.64
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Surreybacked Sussex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Yorkshirebacked Yorkshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Yorkshirebacked Leicestershire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$885.68
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.