CS2 · resolved market
Will FUT Esports win PGL Bucharest 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eb7ea1b051bcd4e8b3f3cbd772e51c6dcd92f1fb9724fcd03b904cb9e7e4f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked No | 1c | 1,478$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5c…8b88backed No | 74c | 896.06$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed No | 68c | 364.61$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.93 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Yes | 36c | 321.19$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 35c | 308.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 23c | 240.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed No | 45c | 224.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 67.5%79 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 6c | 210.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Yes | 27c | 201.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.37 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 18c | 198.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 182.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 66c | 167.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…ae26backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 26c | 163.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yes | 22c | 130$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…f21bbacked Yes | 27c | 126.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 33c | 114.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…aea3backed No | 72c | 110.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 38c | 103$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 33c | 102.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Yes | 59c | 101.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 101.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 99.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb972…f81cbacked Yes | 27c | 93.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 50c | 75.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…6447backed Yes | 29c | 70.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes | 28c | 67.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Yes | 33c | 67.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…02eabacked Yes | 24c | 50.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 32c | 49.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 48.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…fbc2backed Yes | 27c | 47.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Yes | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a4…4b0bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 142 | 62%88 W · 54 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…b3bfbacked Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…3a5dbacked Yes | 58c | 34.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed No | 46c | 32.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa039…0105backed Yes | 59c | 30.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…22e6backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…faa6backed Yes | 56c | 19.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +12.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Yes | 77c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FUT Esports win PGL Bucharest 2026?this page
- Will 3DMAX win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will B8 win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will MIBR win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.