CS2 · resolved market
Will The MongolZ win PGL Bucharest 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb95add4cb83709d51596a437f7a5b760be844d6dbdeb65834f3194fe3efd20ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 15c | 509.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c0aabacked Yes | 17c | 368.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5c…a045backed Yes | 20c | 301.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked Yes | 35c | 287.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 18c | 222.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 78c | 158.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 17c | 141.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 20c | 125.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 19c | 106.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…9bf9backed Yes | 32c | 100.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b0…1c90backed Yes | 25c | 100.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 21c | 90.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…c0a9backed Yes | 18c | 84.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 72.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c3cdbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…1c3cbacked Yes | 29c | 52.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…f79cbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…f79bbacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…5092backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The MongolZ win PGL Bucharest 2026?this page
- Will 3DMAX win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will B8 win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will FUT Esports win PGL Bucharest 2026?Yes won
- Will MIBR win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.