CS2 · resolved market
Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x163a57bd3f4c59113da3742b1f7ff8a27d93fe8454f0fb90172f44a69caaf489
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 74c | 1,773$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.51 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Yes | 28c | 1,556$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.1 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…32b5backed Yes | 26c | 1,179$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.29 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 42c | 955.26$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.14 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed No | 67c | 743.77$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.18 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…58debacked No | 70c | 714.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.71 | 137 | 65%89 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Yes | 23c | 532.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 36c | 502.44$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.66 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yes | 7c | 470.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 39c | 449.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed No | 72c | 363$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 41c | 361.92$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Yes | 32c | 317.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…e77cbacked Yes | 36c | 311.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 31c | 289.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed Yes | 31c | 281.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 271.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 251.55$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked Yes | 40c | 250.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Yes | 23c | 234.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…fbc2backed Yes | 34c | 232.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 226.11$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…5a0dbacked Yes | 34c | 219$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 5c | 217.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…9ccfbacked Yes | 29c | 193.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…5f4fbacked Yes | 33c | 153.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba29…71e6backed Yes | 33c | 149.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 35c | 117.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 215 | 57.2%123 W · 92 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 93.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7e…366ebacked No | 72c | 93.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…6cf8backed Yes | 43c | 81.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Yes | 42c | 81.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yes | 31c | 77.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 18c | 72.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Yes | 29c | 69.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb972…f81cbacked Yes | 36c | 68.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…c84bbacked Yes | 33c | 61.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…5bc9backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 70c | 58.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…715fbacked No | 64c | 54.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…aea3backed Yes | 37c | 54.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked No | 68c | 54.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 277 | 49.5%137 W · 140 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 35c | 52.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 31c | 50.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 75c | 46.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8a…e558backed Yes | 39c | 46.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…426ebacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 26c | 38.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 142 | 62%88 W · 54 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 69c | 34.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 42c | 26.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Yes | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 63c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 61c | 20.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…1c3cbacked No | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 78c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?this page
- Will 3DMAX win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will B8 win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will FUT Esports win PGL Bucharest 2026?Yes won
- Will MIBR win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.