TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a07…9ccf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT13230.3%40 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.19
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+175.9%+$25.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$29.82
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.69
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.12
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 13backed Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+140%+$21.57
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$13.4
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+166.1%+$29.65
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Will Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.