TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof Liquid, fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked fnatic36c55,242$19,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,894.585,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked fnatic35c45,179$15,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,812.5614145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Liquid65c35,690$23,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,610.8575652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d4…2833backed Liquid65c20,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0003100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed Liquid65c19,439$12,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,803.4817951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed fnatic34c16,817$5,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,766.212,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6be…a0f3backed Liquid65c8,864$5,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.7710449%51 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed Liquid64c8,400$5,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.883551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liquid66c8,363$5,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.053,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Liquid68c7,894$5,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.2938358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed fnatic36c5,268$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.0338841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked fnatic33c4,309$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.2619229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Liquid63c4,004$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.0358745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed fnatic36c3,876$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.411,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x495c…c9eabacked Liquid62c2,800$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Liquid65c2,725$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.9129449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed fnatic30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed fnatic36c2,193$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80046555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked fnatic31c2,031$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.611,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed fnatic37c2,027$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9959755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…9f3bbacked Liquid62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Liquid67c1,944$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.436640.9%27 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Liquid65c1,846$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.1548350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed fnatic36c1,652$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.992,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed fnatic14c1,568$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.541,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Liquid65c1,473$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.341,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af3…9cb5backed Liquid63c1,393$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.565860.3%35 W · 23 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x41d1…bac0backed fnatic37c1,355$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006250%31 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Liquid63c1,331$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.61,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked fnatic13c1,290$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.024734%16 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked fnatic32c1,279$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.9549536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Liquid64c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43232346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed fnatic33c1,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3965,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ff…b842backed Liquid63c1,179$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.373256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed fnatic35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab93…8479backed fnatic36c1,119$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+57.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Liquid64c1,000$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Liquid66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34022757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Liquid65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35037557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Liquid66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34025145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed Liquid63c980$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Liquid64c979.11$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.352,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed Liquid63c973$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.744129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Liquid64c952$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.7217954.2%97 W · 82 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Liquid63c927$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.9910735.5%38 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Liquid66c892.82$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5622266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87e1…973ebacked Liquid66c875.74$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…694fbacked Liquid63c858$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.463256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked Liquid66c832.14$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.9311844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d99…9c27backed fnatic13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10414439.6%57 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Liquid65c770$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.512727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed fnatic35c758$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5645646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked fnatic17c737.22$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12330236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Liquid63c725.4$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.422044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd747…076cbacked Liquid64c705.47$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.973850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7774…5bfbbacked fnatic36c705.09$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a39…9e71backed Liquid66c703.84$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.311145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18d…9c5bbacked Liquid62c604.16$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5815951.6%82 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed fnatic7c585.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.742,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked fnatic25c563.79$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3436440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddbc…5dcebacked Liquid64c559.48$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.411346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed fnatic13c550.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked fnatic30c546$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8340137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Liquid66c500.13$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0434140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Liquid65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1754660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Liquid66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17038052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08be…3220backed Liquid62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked fnatic34c499.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9910454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a9a…a9c7backed fnatic19c499.16$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.849241.3%38 W · 54 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed fnatic34c495$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.339245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed Liquid66c487$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2614356.6%81 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Liquid66c471.21$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2126360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfef9…d6e9backed fnatic29c467.24$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.54928.6%14 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed fnatic32c463.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked fnatic35c450$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.542050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x361a…0944backed fnatic9c445.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed Liquid68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1813454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked Liquid63c439.68$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.685738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked Liquid57c438.26$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.077857.7%45 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec9…1e0cbacked Liquid62c435.48$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.481136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Liquid63c434$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.583557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Liquid66c430.11$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0942255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e4d…b4cabacked Liquid63c425.06$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.273531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Liquid63c419.55$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2355039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked fnatic35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14094645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Liquid61c391.65$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.522,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Liquid66c374.11$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1249651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcd…fbfcbacked Liquid62c352.2$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.841776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Liquid62c349.69$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.161,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ee…7c1ebacked Liquid63c349.21$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.211553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Liquid63c335$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.915349.7%76 W · 77 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x845d…aef6backed fnatic29c333.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.783016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked Liquid68c323.53$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5328837.5%108 W · 180 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Liquid61c320.13$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8520936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05e…0c23backed fnatic18c319.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Liquid66c318.02$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.131154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Liquid66c310$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.429156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Liquid65c308$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.825252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Liquid65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6922567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed fnatic10c302.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9712937.2%48 W · 81 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.