TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof Liquid, fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Liquid65c3,845$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.1963057.1%360 W · 270 L+40.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed fnatic57c2,700$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5372,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked fnatic41c2,499$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.911,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liquid56c2,370$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.393,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed fnatic47c2,142$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.3954732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked fnatic36c1,205$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.3827548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid59c1,121$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.512,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked fnatic40c1,100$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.0294445.7%431 W · 513 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed fnatic27c1,026$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.395,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Liquid57c992.41$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.1661047.7%291 W · 319 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Liquid75c948.19$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5246165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid46c893.32$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.186,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked fnatic59c781.99$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.5540137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb361…7348backed Liquid66c701.87$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.871353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked fnatic43c694.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019156.5%108 W · 83 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked fnatic12c689.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.284,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked fnatic42c618$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.547836.8%176 W · 302 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Liquid38c600$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8619443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed fnatic57c600$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.945058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Liquid66c561.6$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.913,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Liquid59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4731744.8%142 W · 175 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Liquid61c460.47$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4212259%72 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x487e…b043backed Liquid51c459.31$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Liquid48c384$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.682,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Liquid51c379.36$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.362,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Liquid14c364.68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.6254938.4%211 W · 338 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x928d…5069backed Liquid59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.982065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked fnatic48c296.18$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5918654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc72…c9d0backed Liquid33c280.61$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+116.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Liquid43c275.2$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.581,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked Liquid80c251.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.173951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Liquid70c236.63$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0236440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf6db…25c3backed fnatic20c235.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Liquid54c228.36$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3613754%74 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed fnatic50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105736.8%21 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed fnatic41c220$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked fnatic59c212.03$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514947%70 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a65…b42bbacked fnatic27c210.07$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.572231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Liquid57c200$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8552150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e0…8573backed fnatic55c196.14$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.297250%36 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Liquid57c194$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.428243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ec…2711backed fnatic43c187.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808643%37 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Liquid61c180$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.230949.2%152 W · 157 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked fnatic35c164.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5753034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed fnatic47c159.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7535148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked fnatic26c156.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4314044.3%62 W · 78 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Liquid56c147$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.413,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Liquid60c145.24$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.812,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Liquid48c135.44$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.966072.4%478 W · 182 L+117.6wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1493…41acbacked Liquid55c128.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.023542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Liquid32c124.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5726939%105 W · 164 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc02…d6c5backed Liquid41c121.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.161361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Liquid46c112.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.73,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Liquid54c109.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7651842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked fnatic66c105.55$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.442,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked fnatic20c103.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.822,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Liquid59c101.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1339338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed fnatic59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.968453.8%368 W · 316 L-22.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.714,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed fnatic28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2893261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Liquid75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2515854.4%86 W · 72 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked fnatic42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230049.3%148 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed fnatic42c93.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4710360.2%62 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05e…04cebacked Liquid59c86.63$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5219259.4%114 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x253f…4253backed Liquid37c78.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.276949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed fnatic25c77.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4471739.6%284 W · 433 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Liquid70c77.42$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.032,08447%979 W · 1,105 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Liquid70c74.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4914661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed Liquid37c70.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2715032%48 W · 102 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f06…a799backed fnatic42c69.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.166647%31 W · 35 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked fnatic55c69.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0839353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdccf…faeabacked Liquid58c62.44$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.222369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed fnatic36c60.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7760755%334 W · 273 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Liquid30c57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.732,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked fnatic45c53.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.784,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53fd…b7a9backed fnatic22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed Liquid31c48.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.233943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed fnatic42c46.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5326046.5%121 W · 139 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Liquid37c43.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4776646.1%353 W · 413 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked fnatic64c43.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816660.8%101 W · 65 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x092c…65fabacked Liquid73c42.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.476761.2%41 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed fnatic65c40.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6667645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked fnatic30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0765149%319 W · 332 L-3.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed fnatic43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xeded…c546backed Liquid38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.88153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed fnatic47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1948251.7%249 W · 233 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked fnatic68c39.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.831,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Liquid60c38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.345,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09ae…2ff5backed fnatic34c35.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.992231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Liquid65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2573854.5%402 W · 336 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed fnatic35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2551949.1%255 W · 264 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed fnatic54c34.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7418443.5%80 W · 104 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Liquid77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4761754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Liquid77c32.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3643152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Liquid62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2632361.6%199 W · 124 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2996…fd9dbacked Liquid61c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.48977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked fnatic41c31.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9916963.3%107 W · 62 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked fnatic37c31.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.613836.2%50 W · 88 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked fnatic33c31.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.175922.9%17 W · 575 L-219.6wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.9%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked Liquid47c30.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3711149.5%55 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.