CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1082faa5e330150bdddb1bd671a55359d0fb3607684b2a1ca5edf5fc6db6665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Liquid, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Liquid | 65c | 3,845$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.19 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed fnatic | 57c | 2,700$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked fnatic | 41c | 2,499$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.91 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liquid | 56c | 2,370$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.39 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed fnatic | 47c | 2,142$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.39 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked fnatic | 36c | 1,205$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.38 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid | 59c | 1,121$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.51 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked fnatic | 40c | 1,100$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.02 | 944 | 45.7%431 W · 513 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed fnatic | 27c | 1,026$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.39 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Liquid | 57c | 992.41$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.16 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Liquid | 75c | 948.19$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid | 46c | 893.32$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.18 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked fnatic | 59c | 781.99$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.55 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Liquid | 66c | 701.87$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked fnatic | 43c | 694.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked fnatic | 12c | 689.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked fnatic | 42c | 618$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.5 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Liquid | 38c | 600$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed fnatic | 57c | 600$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.9 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Liquid | 66c | 561.6$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.91 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Liquid | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Liquid | 61c | 460.47$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.42 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…b043backed Liquid | 51c | 459.31$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Liquid | 48c | 384$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Liquid | 51c | 379.36$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.36 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Liquid | 14c | 364.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.62 | 549 | 38.4%211 W · 338 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed Liquid | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked fnatic | 48c | 296.18$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…c9d0backed Liquid | 33c | 280.61$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Liquid | 43c | 275.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked Liquid | 80c | 251.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Liquid | 70c | 236.63$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…25c3backed fnatic | 20c | 235.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Liquid | 54c | 228.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed fnatic | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed fnatic | 41c | 220$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked fnatic | 59c | 212.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a65…b42bbacked fnatic | 27c | 210.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Liquid | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed fnatic | 55c | 196.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Liquid | 57c | 194$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed fnatic | 43c | 187.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Liquid | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked fnatic | 35c | 164.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed fnatic | 47c | 159.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked fnatic | 26c | 156.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Liquid | 56c | 147$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Liquid | 60c | 145.24$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Liquid | 48c | 135.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 660 | 72.4%478 W · 182 L | +117.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1493…41acbacked Liquid | 55c | 128.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Liquid | 32c | 124.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…d6c5backed Liquid | 41c | 121.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Liquid | 46c | 112.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Liquid | 54c | 109.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked fnatic | 66c | 105.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked fnatic | 20c | 103.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Liquid | 59c | 101.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed fnatic | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 684 | 53.8%368 W · 316 L | -22.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed fnatic | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Liquid | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked fnatic | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 300 | 49.3%148 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed fnatic | 42c | 93.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Liquid | 59c | 86.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Liquid | 37c | 78.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed fnatic | 25c | 77.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Liquid | 70c | 77.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Liquid | 70c | 74.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed Liquid | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 150 | 32%48 W · 102 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f06…a799backed fnatic | 42c | 69.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked fnatic | 55c | 69.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Liquid | 58c | 62.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed fnatic | 36c | 60.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Liquid | 30c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked fnatic | 45c | 53.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…b7a9backed fnatic | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Liquid | 31c | 48.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed fnatic | 42c | 46.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 260 | 46.5%121 W · 139 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Liquid | 37c | 43.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked fnatic | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…65fabacked Liquid | 73c | 42.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed fnatic | 65c | 40.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked fnatic | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 651 | 49%319 W · 332 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed fnatic | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…c546backed Liquid | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed fnatic | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 482 | 51.7%249 W · 233 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked fnatic | 68c | 39.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Liquid | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed fnatic | 34c | 35.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Liquid | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 738 | 54.5%402 W · 336 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed fnatic | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 519 | 49.1%255 W · 264 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed fnatic | 54c | 34.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Liquid | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Liquid | 77c | 32.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Liquid | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Liquid | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked fnatic | 41c | 31.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked fnatic | 37c | 31.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked fnatic | 33c | 31.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 592 | 2.9%17 W · 575 L | -219.6wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Liquid | 47c | 30.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I PlayoffsLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.