TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof Liquid, fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb496…1f45backed fnatic37c5,999$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.782050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3936…6e40backed fnatic7c5,014$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.611827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+340.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed fnatic5c4,154$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.532,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed fnatic9c4,042$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.8225255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed fnatic30c3,207$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.0218557.8%107 W · 78 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Liquid74c2,783$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.0644657.2%255 W · 191 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed fnatic39c2,711$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.447041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d71…a961backed fnatic33c2,600$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+113.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Liquid56c2,482$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.442,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed fnatic20c2,369$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.3467645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed fnatic24c2,309$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.1851842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked fnatic30c2,246$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.013,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed fnatic20c1,176$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2260434.1%206 W · 398 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Liquid62c1,126$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.2945058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Liquid68c1,089$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.951,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Liquid74c1,046$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.561353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+78.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed fnatic33c1,020$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.65,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed fnatic25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25055043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Liquid67c999.97$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9936146.8%169 W · 192 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Liquid67c953.05$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.5116349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked fnatic22c866.18$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19030236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd88a…a7e4backed Liquid57c855.93$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.632373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed fnatic10c820$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8256822.5%128 W · 440 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Liquid62c817.46$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4619156.5%108 W · 83 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked fnatic21c799.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17030123.3%70 W · 231 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Liquid71c788.47$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.4746165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked fnatic10c768.82$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.92,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed fnatic31c749.98$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.491,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked fnatic36c717.7$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.055,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed fnatic20c657$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.152,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked fnatic46c600$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.919443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked fnatic31c558.27$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.33,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked fnatic27c528.94$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7414639%57 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Liquid65c500.04$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1552150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Liquid69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15537057.3%212 W · 158 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2479…5becbacked Liquid58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.843256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb93…e1d3backed Liquid68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602556%14 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x928d…5069backed Liquid69c478.57$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.572065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed fnatic25c429.79$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8748251.7%249 W · 233 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Liquid73c417.91$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5840137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic32c411.57$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.233,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed fnatic31c349.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10855441.2%228 W · 326 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Liquid49c347$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3710148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Liquid71c344.41$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5127041.1%111 W · 159 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed fnatic9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303948.7%19 W · 20 L+7.3wins+0.19per pick30cpaid+67.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked fnatic9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304141.5%17 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed fnatic31c312.8$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.372,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e2…5405backed fnatic9c310$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.92352.2%12 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+59.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed fnatic9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2740247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Liquid54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13835242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…5e63backed fnatic9c273.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.185125.5%13 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3016…9ffdbacked fnatic9c273.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.186127.9%17 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed fnatic14c265.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.262,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Liquid67c264.36$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.242,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked fnatic33c250.04$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.144,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a65…b42bbacked fnatic15c238.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.592231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6db…25c3backed fnatic32c233.11$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed fnatic23c221$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.215,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid63c202$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.752,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba2…1acabacked fnatic6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125217.3%9 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed fnatic10c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Liquid56c193.8$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6935148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked fnatic38c188.67$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.113,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed fnatic6c185.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129229.3%27 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34ec…2711backed fnatic44c181.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808643%37 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked fnatic34c178$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.362,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked fnatic6c166.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed fnatic33c166.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513754%74 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked Liquid72c156.94$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9425045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Liquid58c156.63$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.793,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed fnatic46c150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.542631.5%134 W · 292 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed fnatic43c149.14$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.411,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Liquid68c147.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5723161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Liquid68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0653850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c1…1527backed fnatic52c140$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.82564%16 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25d9…4d80backed fnatic40c137.23$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.622128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…1044backed Liquid54c136.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.914645.7%21 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Liquid66c133.16$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.912,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked fnatic40c130$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5253034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Liquid74c125.26$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5761754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05e…04cebacked Liquid69c124$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8319259.4%114 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Liquid62c113.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0614661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Liquid45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1126939%105 W · 164 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked fnatic27c110$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.112,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Liquid69c110$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.133459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Liquid63c109.71$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5910663.2%67 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed fnatic10c109.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9112055%66 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b3…4998backed fnatic17c108.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Liquid61c103$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.177245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94e8…f707backed Liquid69c101.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.758453.6%45 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53fd…b7a9backed Liquid66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed fnatic40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked fnatic29c99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.216240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1493…41acbacked Liquid53c97.2$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.843542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4adf…d623backed Liquid70c97.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.146173.8%45 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed fnatic33c96.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.91,06242.2%448 W · 614 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bed…5cd6backed fnatic33c90.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.863748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Liquid60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3629156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Liquid59c88.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8171739.6%284 W · 433 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked Liquid70c85.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8516660.8%101 W · 65 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.