TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2479…5bec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT5242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.71
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.25
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$364.99
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+129.5%+$283.53
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.71
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$404.09
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.4
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.22
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$336.92
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
LoL: Shark Attack vs DIA Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Insbacked Shark Attack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Game Handicap: DIA (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5)backed Shark Attack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winnerbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$250.49
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs JAM - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.04
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$52.32
Counter-Strike: NADE vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked NADE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.49
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal - Map 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$177.26
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.53
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$209.84
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.9
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$238.3
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$175.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$107.5
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$110
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$132.5
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$628.58
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.04
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs REBORN (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs REBORN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.67
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+89%+$141.25
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$154
Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD - Map 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$147.5
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$306
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.