Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44665b98d990d7607b687fbc12b7969a3ef0c11be4f70e88a8a314456a0e0d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUS Sakuraof G2 Gozen, FOKUS Sakura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FOKUS Sakura | 18c | 749.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked G2 Gozen | 52c | 661.42$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.75 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS Sakura | 56c | 596.42$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.7 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked FOKUS Sakura | 19c | 560.68$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.15 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 296.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.67 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…fbd4backed FOKUS Sakura | 50c | 211.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked G2 Gozen | 57c | 199.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Gozen | 16c | 168.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked G2 Gozen | 59c | 168.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked G2 Gozen | 57c | 165.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed G2 Gozen | 65c | 153.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked G2 Gozen | 22c | 139.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed FOKUS Sakura | 18c | 131.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed FOKUS Sakura | 18c | 119.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed FOKUS Sakura | 18c | 116.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked FOKUS Sakura | 33c | 110.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 17c | 107.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2479…5becbacked G2 Gozen | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked G2 Gozen | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Gozen | 33c | 87.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS Sakura | 40c | 80.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed FOKUS Sakura | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Gozen | 41c | 66.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x923b…389abacked FOKUS Sakura | 52c | 65.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked FOKUS Sakura | 18c | 57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed FOKUS Sakura | 35c | 52.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed FOKUS Sakura | 57c | 49.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FOKUS Sakura | 40c | 39.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked G2 Gozen | 74c | 38.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FOKUS Sakura | 42c | 36.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed FOKUS Sakura | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked G2 Gozen | 59c | 25.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Gozen | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Gozen | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Gozen | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 22.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked G2 Gozen | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed G2 Gozen | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS Sakura won
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS Sakura won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.