Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8040efeb15654f7b131127dfd3091e207522e827212767ff914f3a93e4688a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUS Sakuraof G2 Gozen, FOKUS Sakura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed FOKUS Sakura | 64c | 2,052$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.84 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…e4e7backed G2 Gozen | 2c | 843.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Gozen | 79c | 642.14$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.56 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed G2 Gozen | 35c | 556.49$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed FOKUS Sakura | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed G2 Gozen | 31c | 428.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 34 | 85.3%29 W · 5 L | +10.4wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Gozen | 23c | 339.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed G2 Gozen | 26c | 269.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Gozen | 45c | 268.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Gozen | 49c | 242.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked FOKUS Sakura | 65c | 230.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed G2 Gozen | 40c | 227$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Gozen | 16c | 225.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Gozen | 34c | 173.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked G2 Gozen | 46c | 173.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Gozen | 20c | 170.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Gozen | 34c | 158$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 19c | 127.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…0ea2backed FOKUS Sakura | 61c | 114.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Gozen | 40c | 113.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Gozen | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Gozen | 23c | 89.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked FOKUS Sakura | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 52c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Gozen | 30c | 80.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked FOKUS Sakura | 69c | 79.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FOKUS Sakura | 20c | 68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked FOKUS Sakura | 32c | 62.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked G2 Gozen | 46c | 51.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked FOKUS Sakura | 57c | 43.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed FOKUS Sakura | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed G2 Gozen | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group StageFOKUS Sakura won
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS Sakura won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.