Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e604c6f9aad1f8931f5e4a5ce5eeeac51949970495a320f04e8c4f34b45358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUS Sakuraof G2 Gozen, FOKUS Sakura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed FOKUS Sakura | 33c | 939.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.79 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed FOKUS Sakura | 54c | 753.66$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.43 | 34 | 85.3%29 W · 5 L | +10.4wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Gozen | 75c | 631.99$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.42 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed G2 Gozen | 67c | 442$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.14 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Gozen | 28c | 436.35$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Gozen | 50c | 339.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.76 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Gozen | 48c | 271$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed G2 Gozen | 43c | 233.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Gozen | 67c | 189$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked FOKUS Sakura | 39c | 160.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked FOKUS Sakura | 32c | 131.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…07dabacked G2 Gozen | 21c | 120.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked FOKUS Sakura | 34c | 113.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS Sakura | 25c | 105.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked G2 Gozen | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked G2 Gozen | 67c | 76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked FOKUS Sakura | 22c | 57.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked G2 Gozen | 67c | 51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Gozen | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Gozen | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6744backed FOKUS Sakura | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Gozen | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked G2 Gozen | 78c | 26.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…340bbacked FOKUS Sakura | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group StageFOKUS Sakura won
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS Sakura won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.