TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BC.Game Esportsof 1WIN, BC.Game Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed 1WIN60c17,252$10,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,280.246160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed BC.Game Esports52c11,546$6,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,519.52,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked 1WIN12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003327.3%9 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked BC.Game Esports50c4,000$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.9463541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked 1WIN47c3,860$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.531,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed BC.Game Esports55c3,044$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.9861034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked 1WIN50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25043951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked BC.Game Esports50c2,378$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.2436440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked 1WIN39c1,937$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.1916946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 1WIN9c1,347$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.684,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed BC.Game Esports50c1,338$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.1455043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed 1WIN50c1,308$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.6743455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab61…fb2bbacked BC.Game Esports40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked BC.Game Esports57c1,175$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.7575245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa413…6c4abacked BC.Game Esports50c1,150$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5751650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed 1WIN43c1,087$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.630153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked 1WIN39c1,075$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42015838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed BC.Game Esports40c1,031$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.5565546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9973…bd7fbacked 1WIN50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked BC.Game Esports70c992.93$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9381751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked BC.Game Esports53c950.49$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.4960953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7eb…eef7backed BC.Game Esports40c933.3$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.983351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed BC.Game Esports40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed 1WIN54c659.5$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1323356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed BC.Game Esports50c630$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31541938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…873ebacked BC.Game Esports56c599.98$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.995534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed BC.Game Esports73c548.86$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.862157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe05…8b13backed 1WIN56c546.25$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.47650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed BC.Game Esports44c522.25$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4618736.4%68 W · 119 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BC.Game Esports51c518.57$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.717,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 1WIN18c504.28$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.92,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2f1a…4e8fbacked BC.Game Esports40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2479…5becbacked 1WIN55c499.98$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.533256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6183…4fa8backed 1WIN29c481.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 1WIN48c452.19$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.645,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed 1WIN43c404.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1424346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked BC.Game Esports52c403.88$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8611444.7%51 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed BC.Game Esports72c403.53$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5340558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…789bbacked BC.Game Esports45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked BC.Game Esports75c395.55$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4935449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f9…cfd8backed 1WIN49c393.57$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.396643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed BC.Game Esports39c384.69$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6832443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x609d…3fa9backed BC.Game Esports69c352.94$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.169963.6%63 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked 1WIN47c340$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.230349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed BC.Game Esports42c320.02$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.065244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed 1WIN46c311.91$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4516641%68 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed BC.Game Esports75c308$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0341475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb7e…9546backed BC.Game Esports69c300$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.74146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed BC.Game Esports46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16253444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked 1WIN51c290$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.915455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed BC.Game Esports50c286$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14311742.7%50 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed BC.Game Esports57c264.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5773658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2dd…b35bbacked BC.Game Esports61c263.68$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.681050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed 1WIN51c248.82$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.929543.1%127 W · 168 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b8…abf5backed BC.Game Esports45c245.55$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.552352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed BC.Game Esports55c244.26$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8255039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked BC.Game Esports45c214.74$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2520248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed BC.Game Esports52c208.6$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8531241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed BC.Game Esports75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5049143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed BC.Game Esports53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9431749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed BC.Game Esports53c190.8$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.184148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BC.Game Esports59c187.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.624,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07df…9f0cbacked BC.Game Esports52c186.06$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.453751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed BC.Game Esports63c178.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0848851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe598…e597backed BC.Game Esports53c169.87$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.323360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04d3…7fd3backed 1WIN49c155.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.342240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed 1WIN51c150.23$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.137850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked 1WIN30c147.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.682,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da2…22b6backed BC.Game Esports50c142$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7138945.8%178 W · 211 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked BC.Game Esports60c121.24$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2414661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed BC.Game Esports61c115.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9833156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed 1WIN52c111.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7261054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24f3…cf28backed 1WIN34c102.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4240%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed 1WIN49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030039.7%119 W · 181 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed BC.Game Esports50c100.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2421437.9%81 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked 1WIN47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed 1WIN39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3935861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed 1WIN26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2642831.3%134 W · 294 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed 1WIN48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4828042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed BC.Game Esports50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5048826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ce5…309cbacked 1WIN38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.998625.6%22 W · 64 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6202…c297backed BC.Game Esports40c99.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.694841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd57a…58e1backed BC.Game Esports51c98.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BC.Game Esports70c97.9$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.892,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…50d4backed 1WIN34c96.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.261625%4 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0c…41d9backed 1WIN49c91.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452544%11 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed 1WIN43c90.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1527438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789a…3dfabacked BC.Game Esports61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.12958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked BC.Game Esports50c86.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0933057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked BC.Game Esports54c86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6523156.3%130 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed BC.Game Esports62c81.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2323757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4038…35e4backed BC.Game Esports50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011352.2%59 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ce…e2eabacked BC.Game Esports55c70.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.913551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed BC.Game Esports46c70.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.162248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed 1WIN55c69.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3816958%98 W · 71 L-0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked BC.Game Esports36c65.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0614555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed 1WIN49c65.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3326346.4%122 W · 141 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9b…719dbacked 1WIN17c65.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked BC.Game Esports51c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.367749.4%38 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed BC.Game Esports47c63.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.874242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.