TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24f3…cf28

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US Open, Qualification ATP: Mark Lajal vs Jordan Leebacked Jordan Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
US Open, Qualification ATP: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roehampton 2: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Oskari Paldaniusbacked Inaki Montes-De La Torre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$21.45
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Matthew William Donald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Augsburg: Dominik Recek vs Benito Sanchez Martinezbacked Dominik Recek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Augsburg: Robert Strombachs vs Kai Wehneltbacked Robert Strombachs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Winston-Salem Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Prague 2: Jan Kumstat vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Maria Sara Popa vs Adrienn Nagybacked Adrienn Nagy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$85
Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Pedro Martinezbacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Filsbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Quebec City: Dusan Lajovic vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+180.8%+$54.25
Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombosbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.46
Prague 2: Matias Soto vs Rudolf Mollekerbacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$109.83
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.18
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$28.53
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$16.8
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$45.08
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$30.14
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.68
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$15.69
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+184.5%+$341.11
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.88
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.07
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$181.1
Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.58
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$28.45
All 8 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+53%+$15.23
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$83.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$23.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.