TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,181 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Over58c38,080$22,000 inWon+$16,080.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c10,000$4,200 inLost-$4,2004,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c5,000$2,100 inLost-$2,10081053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c4,614$1,940 inLost-$1,940.2159847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c4,146$1,774 inLost-$1,773.661,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c4,000$1,680 inLost-$1,68069851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under47c3,183$1,483 inLost-$1,483.0717049.4%84 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under43c2,048$885 inLost-$885.159332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under42c1,774$754 inLost-$753.799735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under43c1,000$425 inLost-$42560445.4%274 W · 330 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c890$374 inLost-$373.81,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over53c879.02$466 inWon+$413.144443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c878$378 inLost-$377.5456051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Over54c499.99$270 inWon+$2304533.3%15 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+110.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under42c490.6$206 inLost-$206.0514645.9%67 W · 79 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c445$187 inLost-$186.91,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under42c370$155 inLost-$155.422744.1%100 W · 127 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Over57c305.55$173 inWon+$132.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under47c298.31$140 inLost-$140.24533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under42c261.36$110 inLost-$109.885750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over54c220$119 inWon+$101.24438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c219.65$98 inLost-$97.716,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under43c200$87 inLost-$8715444.8%69 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c185.25$80 inLost-$79.711,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under44c138$61 inLost-$60.7211217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c20…2256backed Under45c112$50 inLost-$50.41250%6 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24f3…cf28backed Over57c87.42$50 inWon+$37.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Under41c83$34 inLost-$34.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under46c70$32 inLost-$32.217544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under46c60$27 inLost-$27.44062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a46…2482backed Under46c37$17 inLost-$17.02944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e3…d1a9backed Over57c34.88$20 inWon+$14.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x868d…78c9backed Over58c25$14 inWon+$10.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.