TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No50c7,238$3,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,618.7517049.4%84 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes51c5,930$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.1556241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed No49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes50c3,300$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6502045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes50c2,976$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.2313633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed No49c2,433$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No50c2,123$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.361963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No45c1,981$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.21,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes50c1,930$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96581053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c1,885$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.671,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c1,834$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.356,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes75c918.34$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.591,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes50c905.91$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.969735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No41c835.65$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.3850450%252 W · 252 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes50c743.65$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4456051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c709.59$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.74,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes50c644.64$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7924544.5%109 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No51c620.78$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.9659847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No73c618.52$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.671233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed No46c545.09$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.0910847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes49c414.29$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes51c362.12$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked Yes71c320$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c307.25$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.632,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes75c247.2$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2459332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed No51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.084959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005046%23 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa8…7ea2backed Yes53c188.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466e…8ac6backed No52c171.39$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No49c170$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3324…3b4cbacked Yes8c160$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed No12c151.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.251346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick26cpaid+80.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29d6…43a5backed Yes66c149.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59bb…ddfcbacked Yes63c126.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No29c112.66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.446746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No50c109.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.941,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes50c108.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d54…d454backed Yes61c106.28$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+138.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0280…6e1ebacked Yes59c104.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48f5…698cbacked Yes51c103.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked No59c101.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.621060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5120958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.998226.8%22 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.58637.2%32 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No52c99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.522147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x709b…ae96backed No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4d…e0f2backed No50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed No24c94.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No50c88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No20c82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.897844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes51c76.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913954%75 W · 64 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Yes50c74.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.392138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No51c73.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0118651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes71c68.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9241760.2%251 W · 166 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa693…eaaabacked Yes51c66.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0b…0913backed Yes80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb57…6570backed Yes50c60.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No20c56.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.913348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259940.4%40 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7412853.9%69 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c4…4801backed Yes80c46.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Yes33c42.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ab2…66cdbacked No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f144backed No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b8…5a46backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No50c39.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8711349.6%56 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes50c39.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.677844.9%35 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x050a…49e4backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1a…0da7backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x978d…71abbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed No52c37.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No38c36.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.439660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No38c36.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.489358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes61c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.131346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes48c32.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5218748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No38c32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9214253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Yes51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8613…2f76backed Yes49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes79c28.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5973458.6%430 W · 304 L+47.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b6a…6e97backed No51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes76c25.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3877336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8a…3bedbacked Yes56c24.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No46c24.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9828456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes43c23.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.248143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes64c22.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.694957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed No49c22.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed No50c20.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.042941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa983…7ab4backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…b241backed No50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.