Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2bb077d3d2a652569240fd50a17a496f5c034d3521a322e08edcbfd4e2a4fbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 72c | 6,592$4,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Over | 30c | 3,092$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.89 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 22c | 2,523$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.14 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 2,225$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 19c | 1,527$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.16 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 27c | 1,370$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 71c | 1,312$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.48 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 1,110$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 20c | 1,014$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 80c | 1,012$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.49 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 20c | 1,001$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Under | 77c | 774.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…950ebacked Under | 80c | 647.38$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 27c | 433.66$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 428.28$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 23c | 326$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d1…173bbacked Over | 22c | 309.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 18c | 243.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 14c | 223.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 25c | 201.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Over | 20c | 190.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 14c | 179$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 29c | 172$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 80c | 128.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…91babacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…d370backed Under | 80c | 125.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 30c | 117.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 30c | 116.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 31c | 110.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 29c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 73c | 76.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 21c | 72.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 29c | 61.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Under | 75c | 33.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 77c | 28.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…f7f8backed Under | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…5f0ebacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.