TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,339 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99f0…9495backed Under16c6,250$1,000 inLost-$1,00018238.5%70 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under10c5,552$568 inLost-$568.371,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under1c2,000$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed Under17c1,873$318 inLost-$318.4310236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under7c1,758$126 inLost-$126.332817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over78c1,162$909 inWon+$252.5377342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under16c1,117$180 inLost-$179.8881053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under16c886$138 inLost-$137.746,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x545b…7e82backed Under9c577.67$50 inLost-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under16c558.72$89 inLost-$89.469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under18c546.05$99 inLost-$99.484,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under18c543.99$98 inLost-$97.9291435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under10c500$50 inLost-$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under20c486$97 inLost-$97.22147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under21c275.99$58 inLost-$58.3811217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd898…20e7backed Under25c230.24$58 inLost-$57.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d1f…5a5fbacked Over76c116.84$89 inWon+$28.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under19c110$21 inLost-$2153134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4466…cd34backed Under17c99.99$17 inLost-$171827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over80c83.41$67 inWon+$16.6859847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under17c72.19$12 inLost-$12.2775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under18c70.5$13 inLost-$12.695240.4%21 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under21c63.88$13 inLost-$13.4112448.4%60 W · 64 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over79c42$33 inWon+$8.827635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaadf…40adbacked Over80c18$14 inWon+$3.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over77c15.06$12 inWon+$3.461931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.